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Oberon · 11-11-12, 11:14 AM

I think they could take on Vietnam, the DRVs militarys technological level is around about the 1980s, the PRC has a decades jump on them, although it's not to be sniffed at, the DR-no...sorry Vietnam (excuse the slip back into Charlie territory there) has Su-30s and some Kilos on order so it has a bit of parity there.
The real question to ask though is why would they need to? China is Vietnams second biggest trading partner, it's a $25b trade system which the PRC would be loathe to break.
If there were to be any clashes, I'd estimate that they would take place at sea and only the disputed territories of the Spratleys or thereabouts, and I'd say that when the Liaonings carrier group is sorted out then it could certainly pose a threat to the Vietnamese navy.

China, however, will not act until it has all the pieces in place to ensure a swift victory, and even then there is a chance that they will prefer the status quo to unknown territory. After all, the most important thing to the members of the Politburo...well...to the members of any government, is keeping their own jobs, and as we've seen with Bo Xilai, the fortunes of a prominent Chinese official can change in days.

11-11-12, 11:14 AM	#6
Oberon Lucky Jack Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 25,976 Downloads: 61 Uploads: 20	I think they could take on Vietnam, the DRVs militarys technological level is around about the 1980s, the PRC has a decades jump on them, although it's not to be sniffed at, the DR-no...sorry Vietnam (excuse the slip back into Charlie territory there) has Su-30s and some Kilos on order so it has a bit of parity there. The real question to ask though is why would they need to? China is Vietnams second biggest trading partner, it's a $25b trade system which the PRC would be loathe to break. If there were to be any clashes, I'd estimate that they would take place at sea and only the disputed territories of the Spratleys or thereabouts, and I'd say that when the Liaonings carrier group is sorted out then it could certainly pose a threat to the Vietnamese navy. China, however, will not act until it has all the pieces in place to ensure a swift victory, and even then there is a chance that they will prefer the status quo to unknown territory. After all, the most important thing to the members of the Politburo...well...to the members of any government, is keeping their own jobs, and as we've seen with Bo Xilai, the fortunes of a prominent Chinese official can change in days.