Quote:
Originally Posted by Torplexed
One other possibility that I've seen brought up before would be if Germany had knocked the Soviet Union out of Europe in 1941 and Japan had then decided on going after whatever easy pickings were left of Stalin's regime in Siberia instead of going south. Frankly I don't feel Germany's chances in the Soviet Union were much better than Japan's against the Allies. However, Germany gave it their best shot and as well as they appeared to be doing in the summer and fall of '41 the Japanese had already made up their mind to turn elsewhere. So probably a moot point. 
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I think you are right there, Germany had little chance v the USSR (just comparing production of tanks is scary), the other factor is that the oil in Siberia had not been discovered at the time and Japan needed oil most of all.
Its what makes 'alternate war plans' so difficult for Japan - they had few options available to them and their culture closed the better options to them, so they were forced onto a very bad one way path.