Thing is, my theory doesn't really explain some of the behaviour (if this behaviour is real, not only perceived) that slower moving missiles (tasm, harpoon) is more susceptible to CMs than faster moving ones.
(Though it may be arguable that it should be opposite?)
It could possibly be that each sensor update, there is a
(effectiveness/value)/100
against a random 0 to 100.
If that value would be constant, there would be cases of 100% effectiveness would let weapons through. If dependent on the effectiveness...
A radar missile will have more sensor updates on the way if it took longer time to travel, i.e. is slower. It also will help to keep the weapon seeing the CM for as much time as possible. That would explain two more things: The non-linearity of the scale (a value at 10 vs effectiveness 25% would give 2,5% per update, which over n updates adds up to far less than 50% effectiveness would with the same value over the same n updates) and the thing that torpedoes have sometimes decided to chase CMs on a whim. Though I know one cause of that - losing track with the target (a sub slowing down when it had been tracked by passive) it won't properly explain all the cases i've seen.
I'd really like for SCS to tell us.
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