[Skybird]

The original BBC article mentions just one scenario that imho indeed needs to be taken care of: that an Argentinian special command force tries to sneak in on a civilian regular flight that gets "diverted" over a claimed "emergency" that "forces" it to land at the airbase on the Falklands since it would be the only one in reach - and then trying to take it in Trojan Horse manner, in a surprise assault. No British supplies or reinforcements could come in, then. But no Argentinian forces could come in, too - since the British troops would have the means to shoot down any Argentinian transports.

So taking the airbase, would not mean Argentinian victory, but a stalemate. The question then is who could hold out for longer time. A British sub is enough to deny them naval transport as well.

The whole rumbling down there is not about nationalism, but about the suspected resources in the surrounding sea areas.

I currently do not see any serious attempt for a military adventure there anyway. It is rethorics to distract from innerpolitical problems.