Quote:
Originally Posted by magicstix
Tokyo is very much overdue for a mag. 8.0+ quake, as it sits at the joint between 3 plates. Mag 8+ quakes happen roughly every 120 years or so there, and it's been around 150 years since the last one. The Tohoku quake was somewhat unexpected compared to the coming Tokyo quake, which has already been given a name; that's how sure they are of it! The consensus now is that the Tohoku quake has put more strain on the Tokyo faults, and that the chances are 90% they'll see the quake in the next 5 years or so, with near 100% chance in the next 20 years.
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Yeah, it's been a really bad decade for Japan so far and it doesn't look like it's going to get much better. Ironic, about three years ago they made an anime 'Tokyo 8.0', which is quite good and worth a watch if you like that kinda thing.