Quote:
Originally Posted by mapuc
It seems like it's 110% given that, the first day Iran gots it's first nuclear missil, Iran gonna send it immediately against Israel.
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No.
The threat is a bit more subtle, although the scenario you mention becomes the more likely the more religious hysteria is involved.
To me the main thrats remain to be these: proliferation especially to terrorist groups loving to lace a suitcase bomb in a Western capital, or Israel, and the status of being susceptibale to blackmail resulting from this scenario for Western.
Both scenarios are imo totally, absolutely unacceptable.
Secondary considerations are that we should not allow another example like Pakistan, and the nuclear arms race that an nuclear Itran ineviotablywill trigger int he region - a region that is not driven by cold-blooded calculation and ratio like the cold war, but where a millenia of mutual hostility has caused a level of hate and religious righteousness that is second to none in world'S history, and all that instability and irrationality ion that region. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey, Syria all will not just sit on the sidefence when Iran gains nukes.