[QUOTE=CaptainHaplo;1782515]Israel does not need to destroy Iran's nuclear program - they simply have to do what they have done in the past - knock it back a ways.
Destroy enrichment/storage facilities and the trigger research location. You take out the eggheads with the knowhow to build a nuke, you cause a lot of delay. [/quoite]
War after war after war? No thanks, not with me. Over the distance this causes more death (and probbaly also financial costs to Israel, the US, the UK!!!) than one detemrtioned effort. Strike and break them, or stay at home.
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Enrichment has been under attack for a good long while - remember stuxnet?
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Stuxnet'S delay was shorter than expected, and just two weeks or so ago it was reported that they are surprised how fast the Iranians recovered, that nbow they enrich faster than ever bewfore, and have gained more material than was thought possible.
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Iran wants to brag about how its facilities are underground and safe.
Israel has had access to Durandals for decades, and there are plenty of other and better groundbreakers now if it needs them.
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Durandals are runway, not bunker busters. Iranian bunkers' precise locations (entries, ventilator openings) often are unknown to allow preicse targetting of vulnerable spots, which leads to the problem I repeatedly have pointed at: if you have a perimeter of lets say 10x15 km and know there is somehwere a hidden factory 20 m eters below the ground, protected by hardened steelconcrete, and potentially vulnerable points loike entries are unknown for porecise warhead coordinate programming, then you have a problem and would need to cluster-bomb that whole oplerimeter to maintain at least the chance to do at least some damage to the ceiling of said instakllation - and we do not tall about destroying it. When they manage to move just small but sufficient ammounts of matwerial into mountain bunkers where intel knowsd even less about - then you as the attacker attacking blindly effectivly can fold, for then it is game over for you.
The program's installations must be destroyed in all it'S ~300 installations and places. Not just delayed, and in three years or so we again are were we are today. Stuxnet has not worked as intended. The targetted assassination of key personnel of the developement has not worked. Doing limited damage and leave it to that, will not work.
If you go there,
go all the way. Do not take a florett or a skeleton key with you, but use a two-handed sledgehammer and a truckload of dynamite - and make sure you have plenty more in supply and on its way to the head of your column.
Do not try to repeat the botch of 2002, '03 and '06.