Iran currently moves centrifuges that are linked in cascades to a new location that is much harder to reach for a military strike, also it is worried that Iran would move any-weapon-capable material that it has produced into hiding, making it unavailable for strikes or even just intel gathering.
I am relatively sure, therefore, that if a military option really is on the table for Israel (I am still not 100% sure, since they depend too much on US assistance), there will be a strike not just once Iran gained a nuclear capacity, but that there will be a strike BEFORE it gains that capacity.
Waiting with it until it is too late, simply makes no sense. Not when it is about weapon-capable nuclear material.
Last thing Obama can want is a new war now, before the election. Waiting until after election however may prove to come too late. Iran is reported to have increased its efforts after the stuxnet attack, and that the damage from that cyberattack is almpost completely compensated by now. I think they do all they can to get what they want before the US electons. That maximises their chances.
__________________
If you feel nuts, consult an expert.
|