I think they are much more likely to attempt several much smaller scale attacks in reaction to Osmas death our troops in Afghanistan will see some serious attacks in the next few weeks from the fanatics.
Long term who knows it is going to have a huge effect on AQ and the like Bin Laden was more or less a living god to them this is the beginning of the end for AQ pretty much I doubt anyone else in their ranks can fill his leadership role they will still be a threat for some time though for sure.
I am sure some highly valuable intel was gathered during the raid so who knows what they will discover while analyzing it.
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