ya usually i'm firing a long range at slow speed for my first 2 shots to give me time for the other ship in the column time to line up with my shot. By the time i fire my last 2 torps at fast the whole convoy is starting to slow down already. Resulting in my first 2 shots to miss.
Im thinking when they pass near another boat the AI knows this even under bad conditions thus alerting the rest of the group. On a sunny clear calm day i can understand this being possible...
edit: I usually fire at around 3km for my first 2 slow shots because of the speed changing they do.
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