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PA and IDF don't let hamas mess around too much in West Bank.
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Thats why it doesn't seem like it could be them, but with all the other factors it doesn't fit any of the other main groups really either. A new splinter perhaps(as though there ain't enough of them already) or a lone nut.
Also the Itamar murders, thats seems unusual also, a little bit like an old Hez incident but not very much.