Quote:
Originally Posted by UnderseaLcpl
Just to make sure I've got it straight, am I correct in my understanding that we should first in some way be concerned with the Iranians smuggling weapons via some knackered old tanker? If so, why? Since when has denial of weapons to hostile nations via one route ever been a valid strategy? When has it ever worked for any major sea power, ever?
|
I think Israel does its best to track ALL supply and smuggle routes their enemies have on sea and on land, namely for Hamas, Hezbollah and Syria. Remember the bombing of the Northkorean reactor in Syria? The Gaza blockade? Intel activity of the Israelis in Lebanon and in the Palestinian territories?
Who said they try to deny supply to their enemies on one route only, leaving the others open? I think you mistake the EU and the UN with the Israelis here.
If The Iranians try to smuggle not just smull ammounts of handguns, but huge stockpiles or bigger missile parts or parts for a new Syrian reactor or a radar station or whatever, then a ship would be needed. Via plane they would need so many transports that it would attract even more attention.
With Turkey betraying NATO and sending huge ammoiunts of support and supplies to Hamas and Hezbollah, and cooperating with Syria and Iran now, this leaves a new huge playground for hostile smuggling routes on Turkish territory open now. I would not rule out that in the forseeable future the Israelis could launch a military strike on Turkish territory, like they did in the past on Lerbanes, Syrian and Iraqi territories. For me, the diplomatic relations between Jerusalem and Ankare are a stageact only. Both nations are hostile to each other now, due to the changes towards fundamentalism in Turkey, and Erdoghan's cooperation with Iran, Syria, Hamas and Hezbollah.
I also think the time has come now that Turkey leaves NATO, or gets kicked out. They have overstepped so many lines in the past 8 years, and have separated themselves so far from NATO and Western policies and strategic interests. Smart EU intelligence beasts of course will not allow that to happen. They are always so bright, and so forgiving.