Generally speaking the Manilla boats are on the run. You leave out of manila, and the base falls to Japan a month later. (Look up Batan in the history books if your interested) So they run to Subya . A month or so later that base falls to Japan as well, and they flee again to Fremantle Australia.
It's the same issue with SH3 basically. You won't see the base on the map until the flotilla is "officially" based there. For You can be enroute there 3 days ahead of time, and the base will officially open on the 4th day. The reverse is also true. Many people get confused on this flotilla because their base changes so often. Once they settle in at fremantle, it's no longer an issue.
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