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Old 02-01-11, 10:13 PM   #12
TLAM Strike
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Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Rochester, New York
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_tyrant View Post
depends on who attacks first
Israel could do a "pearl harbor" type attack
and destroy the Egyptian naval capabilities
Also just like CCIP said, the Egyptian army is not a mindless puppet
big chance that a "great purge" like thing will happen (so the hardliners have total control), shattering Egyptian military morale and capabilities
Therefore, i believe that the army will shatter first before the blockade can seriously damage Israel. Also, just look at the length of the previous wars. Israel won is 6 days! I don't think a navel blockade can do much damage in 6 days.
Exactly my point on the War Length. Israel is use to winning a war quickly but not to occupying major enemy population centers. Their doctrine is to destroy the enemy army in the field, not to conquer real estate unless necessary. I wonder how long the IDF could hold Cairo if Israel itself was cut off from the SLOC. If Egypt does not play the direct offense game and instead digs in and blockades the eastern Med it could get very ugly, in other words Egypt plays the attrition game.
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