I think the factors of the AI spotting torpedoes is range, weather, and time of day. I've killed merchant at around 8,000 yards (the max range that the crew on watch can see targets), but thats at night. During daylight hours I'll fire torpedos at a range between 1,000 to 620 yards and this is with the MK14. With the MK18 the range would be at 2,000 to 1,000 yards.
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