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Old 10-12-05, 09:18 PM   #39
Ghost Dog
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Olympus Mons, Mars
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First of all, if you actually knew chinese nuclear policy you would know that they have a stated "No First Use" policy. So, its highly unlikely that they would order a launch the minute they detected something coming to thier capital.

next, I do remember saying that I would use stealth aircraft and not cruise missiles. I envisage that attack to be a one time thing, to hit military command directorate HQ or something to that effect.

Furthermore, I said I would consider it. I was careful to make that distinction.

I have a degree in Asian Studies and a degree in International Relations(and 5 years of miltary service), of course I know the difference between a terrorist attack originating in a failed state country and a precision military attack against a modern industrialised nation. I was trying to say that an attack against one's captial city does not necessitate the use of nuclear weapons.

so, to clarify my point that seems to be irking people: I would carefully examine the possibility of using a surgical stealth strike against a high value target in beijing if the following criteria were met.

1. The target's destruction is critical to the success of my campaign.

2. The chinese have not made statements to counter thier existing nuclear policy. i.e if they say attack our capital and everyone gets it type thing, then we dont do it.

3. There is minimal or no chance the strike will decapitate the nuclear command authority to a degree where autonomous counter-attack is launched. My research has shown that China would CONFIRM that nuclear weapons have been used against it before authorising thier own use.

if all 3 of those conditions are met to my satisfaction, then I would do it. if there was compelling evidence NOT to, certainly I would hold off on attacking assets in thier capital city.

Chinese nuclear policy may change in the future, and many experts have concluded that china is moving from a deterrent nuclear force to a force more suited to actual nuclear warfighting. Quite frightening if true, although I still have my doubts about this one.
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