[Skybird]

The tea party will not be enough to get the Republicans back to power in 2 years. I see them being destructive due to the hate they add plenty of fuel to, and I suspect plenty of racism in their rows, too. The tea party is the storm troopers of the Republicans - great to maximise damage and destroy consensus and denying victory to Obama - but unable to bring up a person whom a reasonable, sane mind would possibly dare to imagine to lead a complex business like that of governing a world power. In the end, much of the rethorics of the tea party is as primitive as is the collection of sticks caveman had in his mountain hole.

So, in prinmciple Obama should be a meal ready to eat in two years, he cannot win by his own example anymore. But just damaging his reputation and sowing hate and controversy and vitriolic vibes, Palin, O'Donell and the likes are doing, is not enough to win the presidency for the Republicans. So, Obama can win in two years: by the Republicans defeating themselves when they do not put the tea party on the short line in time, and present a candidate that is acceptable to more than just the hardcore fans of Palin et. al. Which means he must be a moderate, by republican standards. And finding such a name holds the potential to rip the extremist and the moderate wing in the R-party apart.

Short while ago, Schwarzenegger predicted that Obama will be reelected in two years, right becasue of the Republicans inability to find and present an acceptable name to lead them, and to keep the tea party in check. I currently think time will show him to have assessed things correctly. The tea party is what makes the Republicans ineligibale for too many people that are swing-voters and have no loyalty-by-habit for any of the parties. That way, the tea party can become a present for the democrats, helping them to collect votes.

I have the impression that many Ameicans still think that with just some "correct" decisions being made, things will improve magically and the US will oick up the world game where it has left it short time ago, and things will be like they have been before. As long as it is not understood that this is infantile a hope and that in fact already a totally new game with new rules has begun in which the US can play a role, but in no way as dominant a role anymore as it did over the past decades, I see no chance for substantial reparis and imprivements and chnages in the American system. Of one thing I am certain: the old ways Americans - and Europeans as well!!! - have gotten used to, do not work anymore and never will work again. The longer one tries to stick to this fallacy, the worse things will become.

That is in two years. For today, what else is there to be expected than a massive defeat for the democrats. Anything else but that would be a big surprise.