Let us not forget about War Plan Orange which had its origins way back even before WWI.I think the US got concerned long term about Japan after they beat the Russian Navy in 1905 this event proved they where a threat way back then.
We really got lucky at Pearl as well sorry I am not into the conspires we new an attack was possible but not the exact time and place and at the same time we where very complaisant and looked down on the Japanese as being inferior and not capable of such tact(they often had the same view of us),had they have destroyed our carriers at Pearl or been able to sink most of them in 1942 they would more or less have had total domination of the Pacific WWII in the Pacific was much closer than many people realize.
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