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Almost perhaps. But without them it would have certainly meant war.
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I disagree. If those same accidents had happened in a world without nuclear weapons, nobody would be clamoring to launch a retaliatory strike. Cooler heads would have prevailed.
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I give you WWI as an example. An arch-duke assasinated by an anarchistic Serbian gave us WWI. If Nukes existed do you think one man would cause a world war? As counter point JFK was assasinated by one Soviet expatriot. No war.
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If the offended party is so determined, than yes, nukes be damned. If JFK or Khrushchev had been assassinated by a KGB or CIA agent, respectively, than the possibility of an ensuing nuclear war is very likely. As a counter counter point, Lincoln was assassinated after the end of the Civil War. No war.