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Skybird · 05-20-10, 02:45 AM

War coming up? No, will not happen, SK will not launch a fullscale attack on the North. Sanctions, sabre-rattling, symbolic mutual sea manouvers with the US Navy - the usual show.

Two theories I can imagine why the North staged the attck. First, and the one with the lower probability, they tracked the SK vessels from a sub, practiced some exercises during the opportunity, and then had a malfunction or a seaman making a mistake. Second, the theory with the higher probability, the North wanted to blackmail the South by reminding them how dangerous and unscrupulous the North is - and how worse it could become if they do not get more desperately needed economic aid, corn, etc.

A calculation that hopefully is not allowed to work.

If I were them, I would identify the one harbour were that sub must have come from, and then launch a strike against that facility, turning much of it into rubble - especially any present submarines. A shot with 5-20 Tomahawks, or an equivalent stealth bomber raid to avoid triggering too many military defence automatisms in the region - something in that range.

05-20-10, 02:45 AM	#202
Skybird Soaring Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: the mental asylum named Germany Posts: 42,650 Downloads: 10 Uploads: 0	War coming up? No, will not happen, SK will not launch a fullscale attack on the North. Sanctions, sabre-rattling, symbolic mutual sea manouvers with the US Navy - the usual show. Two theories I can imagine why the North staged the attck. First, and the one with the lower probability, they tracked the SK vessels from a sub, practiced some exercises during the opportunity, and then had a malfunction or a seaman making a mistake. Second, the theory with the higher probability, the North wanted to blackmail the South by reminding them how dangerous and unscrupulous the North is - and how worse it could become if they do not get more desperately needed economic aid, corn, etc. A calculation that hopefully is not allowed to work. If I were them, I would identify the one harbour were that sub must have come from, and then launch a strike against that facility, turning much of it into rubble - especially any present submarines. A shot with 5-20 Tomahawks, or an equivalent stealth bomber raid to avoid triggering too many military defence automatisms in the region - something in that range. __________________ If you feel nuts, consult an expert.