Good points, and training and experience will tell. I do want to comment on your last statement, though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donkey-Shot11
Besides, even if a target or convoy were zig-zagging, as long as it zig-zagged at regular intervals, it would become predictable. And thus could be taken into account.
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Convoys went out of their way to be unpredictable, making legs different lengths and changing speed as well. I've read more than one report of a submarine setting up an attack only to have the targets turn away at the worst possible moment, and a few involving the captain being disappointed at not being able to get into position and then suddenly have the convoy turn right toward him.
You just never know...