A 1945/46+ war would have ended with a russian loss.
Supply lines across the Atlantic may have been slower than a land conduit - but the were secure. The russian navy was NOT a force to be feared at the time.
A multifront war would have occured - not 2 - but actually 3+. The middle east, at the time, was heavily in the hands of Allied forces, primarily British forces. Not only would have Russia had to deal with the "Eastern" front, as well as a "Western" front - it would have required forces for a Southern front as well. While it had alot of forces, their ability to stretch the entire new Russian Empire borders would have thinned them significantly. The chances of a sizable Russian force being caught in Europe - resulting in a reverse of Stalingrad, was highly likely, as Stalin had already proven to have limited tactical skill.
While one can argue the equipment issue, the fact is that Russia had no ability to counter the 1000+ heavy bomber raids that Europe under Germany faced. Sure they had good aircraft, but they did not have a sufficient network of assets to counter such raids - especially escorted as they would have been. It would NOT have been quick - but the move forward, secure and move assets that worked so well against the Germans would have done the same against the Russians. Especially since there would have been little reason at that point to focus on urban warfare, as the later stage of the war in Europe trended toward.
The biggest advantages the Russians would have had was pure space (as russian winters proved more than once historically), and the fact that the natural resources the war machine required were out or reach. However, remember we had a lot of firepower on carriers. While the Atlantic hosted numerous CVE's, the Pacific held the CV's - and that firepower, though much shorter ranged than it is today, would have provided ALOT of coverage for raids and penetrations into northern russia (under seasonal conditions), disrupting supplies. All the while 1000+ bomber raids slowly destroyed the warmaking ability of the Russians.
Within a year, more Abombs would have been available - and used - wiping out military forces as well as the major industrial and political centers of Russia. Stalin would have been forced with a choice - come to terms as dictated - or glow in the dark. He may not have been right about alot - but he was no fool.....
And no - under wartime conditions the Russians also would not have gotten the bomb nearly as soon as they did - so no chance to use it in retaliation.
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Good Hunting!
Captain Haplo
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