I am sceptical. Ecclestone has long-lasting contracts with the major TV networks, and has established a system to as lasting contracts with tracks as well. He has an onfrastructure to run the show, and a reglement. The new series has so far no rules and reglemantions - who will be the one to form one? who will control and enforce it? Who will serve as neutal referee?
I do not say the series will not take place. I do say that I see many "ifs" and "maybes" and "eventuallys".
and it is not as if FIA would just give up and shut down. It will try to run its own show. With existing TV contracts. Track contracts. 7 or 8 necomer teams on the ready to jump in. An established infrastructure.
In chess, there was such a thing, too, for different reasons (political ones), and for some years, the world champion of that era, Kapsarow, had founded a Professional Player Association that split away from FIDE. Nevertheless, the attempt did not succeed and failed to generate sufficient public and player interest, and Kasparow today says it was a mistake. His association has gone since then, and only FIDE is there again.
Of one thing I am sure: there is not enough interest, money and room for two competing formula one series. Even more since there is no major attractor like Schumacher - in good and bad - has been.
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