I don't know but i think we're lucky in SHIII because the real U-Boats experienced between 25 and 45% duds at the begining of the war.
During the invasion of Norway it was even worse, more like 90% of all the torpedos missed their intended targets.
Not sure if the depth problem is modeled in SHIII. I have had a few torpedos go too deep under the keel of the ships i was firing at but i can't tell if it was me setting the wrong depth, caused by the state of the sea and the waves or a dud.
The only time i know i got a dud is when the torpedo hits and there is a big splash of water but no explosion and that doesn't happen very often at all.
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