I don't see how the German navy could have forced the British from gibraltar, seeing as how they would have to get through either Scapa or the channel to get there. The Italians obviously couldn't toss them out either.
Dunkirk was before Moscow, and even if they had destroyed the RAF, there would still be significant doubt on Sealion's success.
Also, the British certainly weren't "weak" in North Africa. If anything, it was lacklustre command that saw their defeats, but there eventually will be a point when Rommel would have lost too many units, as well as having an extended supply line for replacements.
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The entire German garrison of Vanviken, right here in your thread!
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