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Do you really think the state restrains itself out of fear of armed violence? Regardless of gun ownership laws, the state still has the overwhelming advantage in firepower. The people can respond with armed violence, but it would just be suicide.
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The reason for the state's restraint has a lot to do with the fact that the state's armies are made up of citizens who enjoy the same freedoms that the people do.
What do you think is the reason that the members of our armed forces lean overwhelmingly conservative?
More importantly, consider how the same side of the political spectrum historically favors intense gun-control AND cutting our military capability...