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Turns out that I've been compentating for my shots tending to hit further aft of my aiming point, so I've been aiming slightly ahead, or right on the bow, to compensate.
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Aiming ahead (leading the target) is something that can end up being very intuitive with practice
Otto Kretschmer reportedly sunk some ships with the not very scientific method of raising his fist and saying "When the target is hidden by my fist, we will shoot". Obviously he had a good seaman's eye for estimating velocity triangles mentally, but again it is something that practice makes better.
