What are the chances of war in Iran
 

Well this is just a topic about what are the chances of a war in Iran in the near future

that is Tommorrow-10 years

Discuss and FLAME!:sunny:

except the flame.

1-3 years.

This topic starts up every few months.

Depends on the Iranian economy and how much the hardliners will alienate their base. With the current crackdown on "immoral dresscodes" it doesn't seem as if the populace will be very willing to go to war, although they may be dragged into it by ahmadinejad. And we can expect the increasingly draconian rule in Iran to get worse. This will be a literal repeat of history in the ascension of dictators who circumvent the rule of law to create a dictatorship.

Ahmadinejad himself, I believe, is literally insane to willingly declare that he's working toward open war with the west when he knows the Iranian people will suffer greatly and the end result will most likely be that Iran will be in ruins and left with a bitter and angry people who will have to slog through a collapsed economy and an incompetent and war-mongering leadership.

Make no doubt about it, Ahmadinejad is hell-bent on war with everyone who is not on his side. The lack of action on the part of the U.N. and the U.S. serves only to goad him further along this route. We still have a couple of diplomatic cards to play on Iran, if Bush is willing to use them, to avert disaster and hopefully avoid a war while removing Ahmadinejad from power. Among those cards is circumventing the U.N. and demanding that european nations suspend all trade with Iran, freeze Iranian assets, and completely drain their economy of any ability to produce war material in order to pressure Ahmadinejad to step down.

To do nothing, is to set the final pieces for a full-scale world war. Any actions that a nation wishes to do to prevent war must be done NOW, if solutions are continually delayed until "tomorrow" eventually there will be a "today" to make action on the issue.

I remember reading one of the conspiracy sites last year where someone "knowledgeable" would give a date as the US would attack Iran in April, then it was changed to October.
Then a top Russian general said some forseeable date in 2007.

Who knows? Personally I don't think it would be in their interests to attack right now. They've too much invested in Iraq and Afghanistan.

We don't have the force necessary for boots on the ground in the foreseeable future plus I don't think the public would stand for another war for a long time.
If we do anything it will be strikes with cruise missiles and aircraft.

I thought we were already at war with Iran? :hmm:

I agree :yep:
I just hope Bush doesn't make it his swansong :nope:

latest 'spam':

The usual rant.

We would have to draft middle class white kids to fight it, so not likely.

Bilderbergers:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dy4Tg...related&search=

I agree with Avon Lady on this one. I don't think it will be anything like the Iraq war, however, and I really hope there is no major ground campaign. There is a pretty high chance of a very extensive air campaign against them however in that period.

I'm sort of surprised Israel hasn't been more vocal about this. Maybe I'm missing something.

They have ********* u* the final rehearsal last year, that's what you are missing...

Don't think that was a dress rehearsal... at least I hope we're not gonna be seeing any Merkavas in Iran anytime soon. Otherwise I think they showed themselves as capable of bombing down things as usual.

Not much chance of a ground assault because you need to keep them in situ to police the country afterwards...not only are the US and UK (as an example) currently stretched to the limit....also look at the high cost of an occupation in monetary and casualty terms (Iraq being a current prime example) :hmm: