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-   -   target speed: the eighty-ten method (https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/showthread.php?t=173086)

sergei 09-02-10 01:47 PM

And yet your previous statement implies that the 8010 is riskier, and superior because of it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by greyrider (Post 1483466)
i have a solution for you, you can use the dick okane method, you dont have to take risks with it, and it sounds like that would be the method for a timid personality like yours to use


greyrider 09-02-10 01:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tater (Post 1483470)
Readable prose might be a good start on your part.

You seem to be saying that holding any contact @ 80 degrees makes his AOB 10, which is nonsense.

If you require a right triangle, you must know his AOB in advance.

you said this tater, i didnt, take another look at the sh4 editor map, this is the 80 im talking about, not what your implying, and not zig zagging ships either. when i said something about deversions, your posts came to mind.

if your befuddled, its not my bag, not mine, you wanted to interject bs and deversions into the mix, now you can find your way out yourself, you put words in my mouth that i didnt say, dont expect me to help you now.

Rockin Robbins 09-02-10 02:11 PM

Not one person practicing this method. Not one person who can explain it. No "method" at all. When one aspect is shot down, no problem, just bring radar into it! 8010 is a moving target. When pinned down it reveals itself as nothing but hot air built around its only valid principle, achieving a collision course based on a bearing, however the bearing is obtained doesn't matter.

He won't explain how he arrives at a 10º AoB, he won't hold our hand. He's really not interested in teaching. He's confined his diatribe to useless, self-serving bragging. He profits no one. He is a loss to his own reputation and standing in the community. Let's just let this thing die and put him on ignore. Done.:D

I won't miss you greyrider.

tater 09-02-10 02:25 PM

I've not mentioned ZZing WRT to the method, sorry. My typing shows up in proper paragraphs, I think it's pretty clear.

If I am attributing something to your method that is not what you mean, just explain it. It should take a couple sentences at most. By all means, correct me.

What are the "givens" for an 8010 approach?

As I see it, you have allowed for the game giving you the fact that a contact is "closing" so we'll take that as a given (without comment on how reasonable the game is in that respect). We move the SUB so that the bearing is 080 or 280.

That's IT. Bearing 80, closing target. We have NO other information.

You seem to make the assumption that this will result in a 90 degree intercept. The future position of the target, however, is described by an infinite number of radial lines from the initial target point that eventually cross the path of the sub. If his AOB is 20, then the intercept is at 80 degrees, and so forth. For each possible path, there is a speed that will keep him on the same bearing to the moving sub (sub at constant speed).

sergei 09-02-10 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by greyrider (Post 1483510)
most here have posted nothing but mud

No.
Most people have posted questions about the method.
Questions that you have avoided or ignored altogether.

Quote:

Originally Posted by greyrider (Post 1483510)
so why do you keep on coming back? if i thought something was useless, id be long gone, yet why do those people keep coming back?

In the vain hope that maybe, just maybe you'll take a few minutes to answer some of these questions.

Pisces 09-02-10 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by greyrider (Post 1483510)
...
you know what the 8010 is shaping up to be? example 25 of the maneuvering board manual, just in a different way.
below is example 25 from the mbm, notice the heading!
COURSE, SPEED, AND POSITION DERIVED FROM BEARINGS ONLY
...

For those that want to read the original, this is the 2 page excerpt of the maneuvering board manual:

http://www.filefront.com/13598315/bearingsonly_TMA.pdf

P.S. Greyrider, I'd love to read from you where you find commonalities in both your method and this example 25. Or how they mix. I don't think there is any commonality, aside from the fact that they both deal with bearings. For example where does a constant bearing fit into all this. It's not in example 25. Infact, constant bearings breaks it.

But I suspect I will never read it since I'm probably part of the BS people. It's ok, I've got a thick skin. I forgive peoples mistakes. I hope you will soon notice this long thread isn't an attack on you personally (atleast not by most that have responded) but questions the technique. If you can't seperate the two, you'll find only frustration.

Pisces 09-02-10 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sergei (Post 1483545)
No.
Most people have posted questions about the method.
Questions that you have avoided or ignored altogether.



In the vain hope that maybe, just maybe you'll take a few minutes to answer some of these questions.

Amen

NorthBeach 09-02-10 06:02 PM

greyrider- Why the personal attack upon me? You make a lot of assumptions about who I am and what I did and do. You know nothing of my job (nor will I tell you). Nor do you know anything of where I've been or what I've done and in what capacity. You know nothing of my personality. I merely laid out a couple of qualifications that may, or may not, lead the reader to understand that I have an understanding of logic and risk management, military and intelligence doctrine, and tactics. I did not besmirch your character. I simply made a bottom line assessment based on the explanation provided, to date.

Irrational personal attacks do not clarify an argument. Nor, do they prove the conclusion of an equation.

Armistead 09-02-10 06:07 PM

Let assume it works, why would anyone use it?

First, you have to let most targets go by or surface, get set up in the correct position then dive and start the procedure. Again, if I have to do a end around to put myself in position, I already have all the info I need.

For TF or convoys it's very limited. The escorts are zigging. If you're found out, the method is useless. The bigger danger with a convoy or TF with many escorts is staying dived and not knowing what the escorts are doing, something a scope would tell you. You can't set up on the capital ships you want, your limited to basically one attack

You may have to use speed to keep yourself on the correct bearing, speed is one of the biggest ways to be caught...very dangerous, it all goes out the window, plus a waste of battery that you may need.

It takes a lot of time. Few people are going to use all this time chasing singles which is all is would work on...if it worked.

If it worked it would still be the last option a skipper would pull out of his bag of tricks....

tomoose 09-02-10 08:16 PM

@ tater
 
Your last para is what I was trying to say way back on "page" 1 a while back, LOL. I still don't see how an AOB of 10 can be extrapolated by putting an unseen closing target at 80 degrees.:-?

One thing that jumps out at me here in Example 25 (unless I missed something) is the use of the word "observed" as in: the target can be seen.:hmmm: From that perspective it makes sense but not necessarily a requirement/need for 80 vs 10 so to speak.

Rockin Robbins 09-03-10 03:26 AM

"Observed" is a requirement because that is the only way to establish AoB, whether through radar, active sonar or periscope. Without that no target course/AoB (they are equivalent) can be established. Establishing AoB for a target 40 miles away, as greyrider postulated in that last post of his that I could read, or from any range beyond that of the sensors referenced above, is impossible.

Also completely ignored was my observation that a 10º AoB from 20 miles gives an underwater run of way too far to justify. By the time you engage your batteries are too depleted to call your submarine combat ready.

Too many problems. No explanations to questions or problems. "I won't hold your hand" is not instruction. Reference to a little known publication by abbreviation only and no links is only baffling with bullschnitzel, not clarification. When one has nothing to explain, one dissembles, relates irrelevant stories and distracts with some fancy dancing. Greyrider is doing that. The reason is that he knows that he does not have a viable attack method. If he did, he would move heaven and earth to ensure it was clearly understood. His continued evasion and obfuscation reveals his underlying attitude. That is not a personal attack, it is objective fact.

My objective in this thread was to call bullschnitzel so that new players wouldn't be sucked into the vortex of apparent "knowledge" and conclude that the problem wasn't the method but their ability to understand. One poster in this thread already came to that completely wrong conclusion. To the best of my ability that has been accomplished. For clear targeting information go to the Sub Skipper's Bag of Tricks thread. (Note that I did not refer to it as SSBT and that I did supply a link for you to check it out yourself. That is what people do when their motive is communication) That's where my cat learned to shoot and he's better than I am. Manual targeting is easy and you can do it! Most likely you can do it better than I can.

Carrying on a conversation with one whose objective is not to communicate is irrational. We should let the thread die.

joegrundman 09-03-10 06:15 AM

Rockin Robbins

I am pleased to see how far your understanding has developed of the principles in this sort of problem, since greyrider last brought up this subject 18 months ago here: http://www.subsim.com/radioroom/showthread.php?t=148065

however i'd like to clarify this point here:

Quote:

Also completely ignored was my observation that a 10º AoB from 20 miles gives an underwater run of way too far to justify. By the time you engage your batteries are too depleted to call your submarine combat ready.
With my handy-dandy replica Submarine Attack Course Finder, in a two second operation i can tell you that on a normal approach at a target 20 nm away and a 10degree AOB, you are less than 4 nm from target track.

If the merchant target is going at a brisk pace of 10 knots, it will take 2 hours to get to the intercept point. You can be there at the same time at just 2 knots. This is easily manageable underwater without depleting your batteries.

And i'd say approaching underwater from 20 nm is a reasonable thing to do if in daylight, with clear visibilty and in an area known to have large concentrations of air cover. For example off the coast of japan, where i understand submarines tended only to surface at night.

greyrider 09-03-10 06:49 AM

on the dark night in gale force winds, uss sealion engaged a japanese warship convoy,
taking out battleship kongo, and a destroyer. the destroyer was a lucky shot, because the torpedo
that killed it was meant for someone else.
im not going to tell the story, i have copied the story here for you to read.
but my point here for doing it, is to show this attack, and how i think this was a point and shoot type shot
that killed the battleship.
there was no other way captain reich could do it, because the look outs could barely see the ship superstructure,
so periscope shooting was out of the question as far as acquiring target information.
the shot had to be from radar bearings.
sealion had radar, and she determined target spped and course with radar, overhauled the convoy, turned into the convoy when she got to her attack position,
and waited to shoot. sealion was in a position to shoot, just like the map of the test mission.
its this attack that makes me believe captain reich took a p and s shot, so if you want, you can read the story below, and draw your own conclusions.
sealion did not get target speed and course using a 8010, he did that by conventional radar plotting, but its how he shot and under the circumstances sealion was in,
that makes me believe it was p and s.
so without anymore delay and explanations, i give you the story to read.

During the ongoing struggle to reinforce and preserve Suzuki's 35th Army on Leyte, the First Striking Force had spent all it's time hovering at Brunei Bay. Apart from it's sortie in its vain diversion attempt during the TA IV and III transportations, it had scarcely moved from there since returning from the great battle of Leyte Gulf

The warships of the fleet had spent all this time making what emergency repairs and overhauls that they could, while awaiting final instructions on who was to go where from Tokyo. Actually, that had already been decided, but had yet to be put into effect. As early as 4 November an inspection team led by Radms. Yagasaki Masatsume and Iwasaki Wasaburo of the Manila Technical Department had made its recommendations to Kurita and to Tokyo. Intervening urgent needs, like the need to support the TA Operations, had prevented its earlier implementation; now the damage states of the individual ships basically determined their ultimate destination. Of the battleships, YAMATO, NAGATO, and KONGO must all go home to Japan for repairs to their damages suffered at Leyte Gulf. Only HARUNA was fit for duty and to proceed to Singapore.
[KONGO had to return because of oft-unreported damage: the text from the Samar chapter says in part :"On 25 October 1944, during the air attacks of TF 38, the heretofore charmed KONGO had in fact suffered notable damage. At 1330 she was bracketed by six very near-misses that heavily shook the old lady. A gash was torn in the blister on the starboard side abreast the bridge, opening fifteen oil tanks to the sea. Another bomb off the starboard quarter damaged the blades of both starboard propellers. As a result of these shocks, KONGO lost 307 tons of fuel and had three 25mm mounts wrecked. Casualties included 12 killed and 36 wounded from flying fragments. This damage, overlooked in prior credits, can almost certainly be credited to the flyers of McCain's TG 38.1, and proved sufficient to force the return of the KONGO to homeland in November. By so doing, resulting in the fatal encounter with USS SEALION II to be described later." Thus, it was simply a case of the three damaged BBs going home, and the shipshape BB remaining on duty - Tony].
Among the cruisers, the TONE had heavy damage to stern and starboard engines; her hull seriously strained. She had to go home to Japan, as did YAHAGI. MYOKO and TAKAO were even worse off, and immobilized at Singapore. ASHIGARA was fit for action and were earmarked for Singapore.
Of course, since this report had been issued circumstances had made some of it's statements past-tense. Some of the vessels involved had already gone--either home or to the bottom. TONE for example, had departed for the homeland on the 8th with JUNYO. Essentially the recommendations remained unchanged and on the 15th of November Combined Fleet ordered a major fleet reorganization effective that date. It's structure reflected the changed situation and the increased emphasis on the Second Striking Force as the major operational fleet from now on.
Vice Admiral Ugaki Matome's First Battleship Division was abolished completely, with YAMATO designated flagship of the 2nd Fleet, and the NAGATO reassigned to join Vice Admiral Suzuki's Third Battleship Division of KONGO and HARUNA. Also eliminated was Ozawa's shredded Mobile Fleet and his extinct Cardiv 3, as well as Crudivs 4 and 7. DesRons 1 and 10 were deactivated, and their survivors incorporated into a vastly expanded DesRon 2 five days later on 20 November. The Second Striking Force would go to Singapore, while the bulk of First Striking Force would return to Japan.
This last part was to be carried out immediately. In fact, Kurita himself was to take the YAMATO, NAGATO, and KONGO home for repairs the moment refueling was finished, which meant by the afternoon of the next day. Since YAMATO was going home anyway, Vice Admrial Ugaki, though no longer in command of ships, decided to ride her home as a passenger. It appears that Rear Admiral Kimura Susumu made the same decision on YAHAGI.
The next day, Saturday the 16th, Vadm Shima arrived off Brunei aboard HATSUSHIMO in company with ASASHIMO and TAKE. Before they could catch their breath the air-raid alarm sounded at 1100. The Japanese warships hastily got underway, as the long-feared air attack on Brunei arrived at last in the form of forty B-24s and 15 P-38s. Not caught by surprise, the big ships were underway and maneauvered at high speed in the roomy waters of the vast bay. The great YAMATO was an impressive sight as she looped around at 24 knots, her great 18in guns joining the barrage of anti-aircraft fire. The enemy planes broke formation and scattered when the first San-shiki exploded, but none of them were seen to fall.
After YAMATO's guns had belched forth ten salvos the attackers drew away. The long-feared air raid on Brunei had finally occurred but had turned out to be largely a no-show. Of course the story might have been different had they been Halsey's carrier planes, trained and equipped for such a task. That very option had been denied the fighting admiral by his commitments to Leyte's support.
The only damage inflicted had been slight fragment and bullet damage on cruisers HAGURO and OYODO and killed a man on destroyer YUKIKAZE. But Kurita was anxious to depart knowing full well, that next time, they might not be so lucky. His opinions were shared by the Chief of Staff of the 5th Fleet, Rear Admiral Takeshi Matsumoto. He had just arrived in Brunei with Admiral Shima and had too vivid a memory of narrowly escaping the sinking of NACHI. That flagship's destruction had taken place in a wide bay much like this one. After leaving Manila late on the 13th Shima had arrived at Brunei just as the air raid was breaking and had waited outside till the all clear. For a few hours the fleet at Brunei was swollen to considerable strength.
It didn't last long, because at 1820, right on schedule, YAMATO blinkered the orders for the designated home-bound ships to weigh anchor. Light cruiser YAHAGI led the way, then battleships KONGO and NAGATO, with graceful YAMATO bringing up the rear. Screening them was all four ships of DesDiv 17; flagship URAKAZE, the ISOKAZE, YUKIKAZE, and HAMAKAZE.
The fleet set course northwest past the Pratas and toward Formosa Straits, and beyond it Japan. Left behind was the HARUNA, now assigned to Shima. The KONGO's and HARUNA's crews regarded this separation with some unease. The lucky pair had been constant companions since the beginning and this may have been the first time KONGO and HARUNA parted company in a combat zone. If so, it was as if some tenuous invisible thread of fortune had been severed. The two sisters would never see each other again.
Karma notwithstanding, the separation had a simple practical reason. RADM Shigenaga Kazutake's HARUNA was still in fighting shape, and so had been assigned to accompany Shima's 2-YB south to Singapore. She would serve as the southern fleet's main strength, her big guns and speed making her ideal to keep company with the cruisers and destroyers.
Shima's preparations for sailing did not take very long, and having broken his flag on heavy cruiser Ashigara he followed Kurita to sea at 0400 the 17th with HARUNA, HAGURO, and OYODO. Screening them were HATSUSHIMO and ASASHIMO. Escort destroyer TAKE proceeded independently to Shinnan Gunto, under orders to return to Manila and escort the Fifth Transport Operation.(See Chapter 12)
Before proceeding to Lingga they moved north to the Pratas Islands (SE of Hong Kong). Arriving 1300 18 November, they found KASUMI and USHIO waiting. Also present was Matsuda's Cardiv 4 (HYUGA; ISE) which had arrived that day accompanied by SHIMOTSUKI. The rendezvous with Matsuda's battleships effected and their supplies for Manila transhipped, Shima was ready to lead his much expanded command to Lingga. Departing the Pratas on the 19th, his force of three battleships, two heavy and one light cruiser, plus five destroyers headed southwest for Lingga.
The voyage was made without incident until the very last day at sea. At 0705 22 November the OYODO reported sighting a submarine and opened fire. With smoke streaming from their stacks HATSUSHIMO and SHIMOTSUKI charged the submarine and laid down a depth charge attack, but no results were observed. After this the fleet hurried into Lingga, arriving at 1500 later that day. It apparently hurried too fast, for as the ships moved toward their assigned anchorages the HARUNA ran suddenly aground sixty miles out with an unnerving grinding and lurch.
Anxious moments passed, and it was seen that the battleship was stuck fast. At length she was finally pulled loose, but not before the tide and her weight did much damage to her underwater hull on the port side forward of the bridge. The Lingga harbor masters hastened to offer apologies of the deepest sympathy and shame that their navigation aides had proven faulty. That brought Shima little comfort. The severity of the damage had in effect deprived him of his best capital ship---she would have to return to Japan for docking, no question about it. The heretofore charmed HARUNA's luck had turned unaccountably sour. What her disgusted captain and crew did not know, was just the day prior, Fortune had already more harshly withdrawn her favor from their sister battleship.

Since leaving Brunei, Kurita's section (including YAMATO) had proceeded northward toward Formosa without incident. At lunchtime on 20 November, the first section of the once proud First Striking Force was passing through the straits between the Pescadores Islands and the southern part of Formosa. Ugaki scanned the seas, but noted with pleasure that the current, as usual, was quite strong, and that no enemy submarines frequented this area, apparently for that selfsame reason.
For a while the escort-destroyers UME and KIRI had joined the screen, to bolster the coverage in the sub-infested waters south of Formosa. It is unclear if they were intended to transit the strait with 1-YB, for the KIRI suffered a casualty of some kind, and she and UME had to sheer off for Mako, where they arrived 21 November. Other than this, nothing disturbed the force, and in any case four days would see all back home in the Inland Sea. With a nod of approval, Ugaki let his eyes once more take in the view of the other ships. His own ship YAMATO, on which he was a mere passenger, albeit an illustrious one, was still last in line of the four ships. Ahead, he could see his beloved NAGATO, and in front of her, the tall pagoda of the veteran KONGO, with the lead ship YAHAGI occasionally coming into view as the fleet zigged and zagged.
On the flanks, ever vigilant, patrolled the four destroyers, ISOKAZE and HAMAKAZE to port, ComDesDiv 17's URAKAZE and the YUKIKAZE to starboard; all veterans of countless voyages like this one. The fleet steamed on, making a steady 16 knots. Though Ugaki might have wished for more speed, the economics of fuel made this pace a necessity. For his part, Admiral Kurita Takeo probably didn't mind. He was surely in no hurry to face the moment of explanation before his superiors in Tokyo. No trace of reprimand had been issued, but still, there were rumors. Assumptions.
After sundown, the night turned out to be dark and cloudy, with moonlight shining dimly through silvery wisps of clouds in a black sky and sea. Shortly before midnight, disturbing news brought Ugaki to the bridge of the YAMATO. Enemy radar waves had been detected: Anywhere at some spot between a bearing of 0 and 70 degrees. There was some consternation.
Was it an enemy plane, shadowing the battle fleet by night, or more dangerous, an enemy submarine? No one knew. As YAMATO's C.O. RADM Mori****a stared with silent concentration into the black expanse beyond the windows of the bridge, it was observed that the waves seemed to be shifting; more like a night spotter would do. The question was, what action to take?
Ugaki was party to the short midnight discussion that followed, as the officers studied the bearings and leaned over their charts in the subdued light. After a moment, the decision was made. Course would be set to 050 degrees, and the battle group would seek to break past whatever lay ahead, plane, or sub, at 16 knots by minimal zigzagging.
The signal went out to YAHAGI, KONGO, and NAGATO, and the destroyers were instructed to maintain a vigilant watch for signs of submarine activity. Soon those aboard could just feel YAMATO's huge hull swinging to starboard to the new course, with scarcely any heel. The minutes ticked by steadily, as Tuesday 21 November 1944 arrived and drew on. Visibility was still dim, with the horizon just discernible from the black sky. To starboard, loomed the brooding bulk of Formosa, some 60 miles distant. As the fleet pounded on, it was seen that the enemy radar waves were now swinging left, drawing around to port and astern as the fleet turned and steered northeast.
Heads nodded in satisfaction. By 0230 it seemed pretty clear that it was a shadowing aircraft, for if it was a submarine, the signal would have ceased abruptly, as it dived for the approach to attack. Ugaki was considering this, and took yet another peering look out YAMATO's windows into the night where the dark shape of NAGATO and the wakes of the ships ahead were just visible. It was perhaps high time to leave the bridge and turn in. It would be dawn in about four hours.
Unbeknownst to Kurita and Ugaki, the contact being tracked was not an airplane, but indeed a submarine. She was the USS SEALION II(SS-315) under command of the thirty-four year old Captain Eli T. Reich. He had been on patrol near the northern tip of Formosa when at 0020 his radar had detected three and unusually strong pips off the starboard quarter at the incredibly long range of 44,000 yards.
At first, Reich was convinced he was somehow bouncing off Formosa, but at 0048 radar reported that the range had closed to 32,000 yards and the following electrifying report was passed: "Two targets of battleship proportions and two of large cruiser size! Course 060 True! Speed 16 knots! Not zigging!"
Reich got off a contact report to Pearl immediately, and came about for an end-run. The night was overcast and moonless, the sea fairly calm though with rising wind, and visibility was some 1,500 yards. Nevertheless, Reich decided to chase and attack on the surface. This was an unusual decision in a situation with heavy fleet units, for SEALION II would be running the grave risk of being detected by Japanese radar (in fact, already had been, apparently, by YAMATO!) and would be on the receiving end of a devastating potential of salvos if discovered. Nevertheless, Reich realized he would need all the surface speed he could achieve if he was to get around and ahead of the task force for an attack position.
He stepped up to full speed and commenced his end run. By 0146, in increasing winds and seas, SEALION was parallel on the enemy's port beam, and radar showed four heavy ships in line of column, cruiser, battleship, battleship, another cruiser; escorted by apparently three destroyers - one 1,800 yards off either bow of the first battleship, with a third on the BB's starboard quarter. The Japanese fleet still was not zigzagging, and was steaming blissfully unaware on course 057 as the submarine gradually edged out in front.
Unaware of the mighty guns he was in fact challenging, Reich at 0245 was in perfect attack position. He slowed SEALION, and turned in to make the run at the enemy's port bow. Selecting the second ship in line, ie the first battleship, as target, Reich kept his bow pointed at the nearest destroyer [ISOKAZE] which the conning tower watch could now dimly make out some 1,800 yards away. This was the first visual contact with the enemy in a chase that had been till then entirely conducted by radar.
Noting the tendency of the destroyers to overlap on the radar with the BBs, Reich set his torpedo depths forward at eight-feet. This way, he just might hit a destroyer too. The choice was to have an interesting consequence. At 0256, Reich came to heading 168 and fired all six bow electric torpedoes from the tubes on a 90 degree port track, at a range of 3,000 yards. As they did, the bridge quartermaster reported that he could make out a high, pagoda-like outline on the target, definitely a battleship.
Reich came right with full rudder to a westerly heading for a stern shot, and at 0259:30 fired three stern tubes (the fourth, No. 8, was out of order) at a range of 3,100 yards at a ten-foot depth setting, keeping it shallow like the first. Target was the third ship, the second battleship (NAGATO). As the last fish left the tubes, Reich ordered flank speed due west to clear the area.
The Japanese ships had been fighting the same worsening weather as the SEALION. On the destroyers the seas were so stormy that water flooding into the bridges constantly so that some men on watch took their shoes off. Still, this weather made enemy attack less likely and all had silently relaxed. Aboard the YAMATO, Ugaki was just about to turn in himself. He took a final glance out of the red-lighted bridge into the night. Suddenly, at 0301, there was a sudden burst of light, a flash of dim flame, and a waterspout climbed the side of KONGO near the head of the line. Alarms sounded, even as another flash and column of water followed, and perhaps more.
When she saw the waterspouts on KONGO, the NAGATO, followed by YAMATO astern, instinctively and instantly threw her helm hard to port to comb any more torpedoes that might be approaching. By doing so, she successfully deprived Reich of a double-battleship score, with SEALION's second salvo crossing ahead of NAGATO and continuing on to the west.
This salvo did connect anyway, for the torpedoes went straight on to intersect the path of the first destroyer of the starboard screen, DesDiv 17 flagship URAKAZE herself. At 0304, probably just as she was rigging her depth charges and preparing anti-submarine action, the flagship was hit in the port side by the third torpedo of Sealion's salvo aimed at NAGATO. There was a brilliant "circle of light" and a series of "lesser detonations" as URAKAZE was blown apart. Perhaps the torpedo had caught her forward magazine, or exploded her torpedo tubes amidships, as often happened. In any case, within two minutes, she had vanished into the black waters, the "lesser detonations" perhaps her own depth charges exploding with fatal effect among what survivors had managed to get off her.
Her sudden disappearance was not well understood and was misinterpreted by her comrades. Since URAKAZE had been to starboard of KONGO when she blew up, the other destroyers at first assumed the attack had come from the east, and YUKIKAZE astern immediately charged out to depth charge the sea there. This spawned both Sealion and post-war (and slightly unfair) claims of Japanese anti-submarine incompetence. As it was, perhaps not having observed the hits on KONGO clearly, the mistake was natural. And the loss of the division leader could only have added to the confusion.
Nor was that the only confusing thing. At the moment of impact, some of KONGO's fantail 25mm batteries had opened fire, shooting blindly into the sky for a few seconds. Some officers apparently believing the strikes had come from the suspected shadowing bomber. It seems that no one immediately guessed a submarine.
Two of Sealion's six torpedoes had caught the KONGO . One in the port bow chain locker, the other aft of amidships, port side, under the No.2 stack jarring the great battleship and causing spouts visible two ships astern on YAMATO. The hits came with two loud booms followed by a `low grinding sound which vibrated the whole body of the ship'. The bugle blared over the speakers, sounding the crew to action stations. Loudspeakers called for emergency teams to proceed to the inner anchor deck and effect shoring procedures. The torpedo hit there had torn a large gash in the bow. The second hit had flooded KONGO's Nos. 6 and 8 boiler rooms, but the remaining boilers could provide adequate steam pressure, and despite the loss of fuel, enough remained to continue onward at fleet speed of 16 knots. However, the KONGO did begin to assume a slow list to port and stayed there.
The NAGATO and YAMATO completed their evasive circles to port and seeing that KONGO was still underway, resumed formation. While still in the turn the YAMATO had seen a burst of light where URAKAZE was supposed to be, and contact had now been lost with her. The Japanese suspected the worst, but there could be no stopping now with a damaged battleship to look after. Gradually order returned and encouraged by KONGO's reports, returned to the base northeast course.
Though a considerable section of the port side and machinery spaces amidships aft were flooded, there was little initial concern among KONGO's veteran crew. The men were well trained, and there was no panic, or even much excitement. Many returned to their stations, and some even to bed, as the battleship pounded onward. ComBatDiv 3 Vice Admiral Suzuki Yoshio was on the bridge and after hearing the report from the BB's C.O. RADM Shimazaki Toshio, signaled CinC Kurita and his friend Ugaki aboard YAMATO the details. Once it was learned that KONGO's damage appeared manageable, the decision was made to maintain speed and attempt to escape any pursuit by the enemy.(At the time it appears that URAKAZE had not even been missed yet).
The enemy was indeed pursuing. From the conning tower of the SEALION II, now 8,000 yards west of the fleet, Reich was chagrined to learn that the enemy force was continuing on at 16 knots and that apparently his low depth setting had only dented the battleships. No more aware than the Japanese were that he had already sunk URAKAZE, Reich feared he had blown his shot by being greedy with the shallow setting and clearly, another attack was necessary.
He rushed a reload of his bow tubes and set off in hot pursuit at full speed into the teeth of a steadily mounting gale. Calling for more speed, he plowed his submarine through the seas at 16.8 to 17 knots, under increasing strain on the engines and the worsening seas that were now about Force 5 or 6. The winds were caterwauling and solid water was coming over the bridge and water down the conning tower hatch, but Reich drove onward.
The KONGO and the other battleships knew Sealion was in pursuit. They had detected Reich's radar waves and at about 0405 begun to zig-zag. The YAMATO was tracking the enemy submarine and if necessary could open fire, but the best chance of avoiding harm was to maintain course and speed. However the increasing gale complicated things for the Japanese too. It was true that the torpedo hits had inflicted moderate to severe initial damage that seemed under control, but since Shimazaki continued to maintain KONGO's speed after the hits, the pressure of the inrushing water steadily buckled and crushed other bulkheads one after another. This aggravated the damage, and made damage control's task harder. As the battle fleet drove northeast in the heavy seas, the opened portion of KONGO's bow was constantly shipping water. The hole in the bow was being wrenched wider, as had happened to MUSASHI at Sibuyan Sea the past month.
Divers assigned to the task fearlessly donned their gear and despite the heavy seas and danger, proceeded to the damaged area to try to seal the hull. But each pitch of the battleship brought more flooding. The DCO speculated that the enemy torpedoes had been set a depth where they gashed the torpedo bulge, thus causing the hole to tear bigger over time. The high speed was in fact acting as a damage multiplier. Despite the danger of second attack, there was no choice: first KONGO had to suspend zigzagging, then she had to slow to 14 to 12 knots.
As she did, the NAGATO overtook her and blinkered encouragement and assurances as she sailed by and KONGO assumed the rear position. The mood indeed remained guardedly optimistic. KONGO's list had been checked at 12 degrees and her navigator reported that other than the water flooding the chain locker and speed reduction, they were holding station. Up in the HA gun director forward, Heicho Takahashi Masahiko saw that the port rail was inclined toward the sea, but it seemed only slightly worse than prior times off Samar. KONGO had survived that action, and would this one as well. But there was a catch. Though it appeared that damage control had stabilized the heel, that was not the only danger. He and the others were well aware the enemy was continuing to pursue the task force.
On the bridge, Shimazaki eyed the inclinometer with growing concern. His ship was continuing a slow, but steady heel to port, indicating that the flooding was not being adequately checked. Damage control soon confirmed the bad news: progressive flooding was spreading through leaks, fractured bulkheads, sprung seams and pipes throughout the old lady. The listing had resumed and the situation was becoming unsettling. Still, no thought was given that the KONGO might actually sink. The Secondary Battery Officer LtCdr. Yutaka Takahata pointed out that KONGO had listed more than 5 degrees from the near-misses at Samar, but had recovered. It was more a question of whether she remained with the formation, or make for Formosa for temporary repairs.
In fact, at 14 degrees the listing slowed, then checked once more. The good news was reported to YAMATO. Nonetheless, it was now one and a half hours since the hits and Shimazaki's mind was made up. He was worried enough to signal Kurita that he had better consider heading for the nearest port. After consultation, and signals exchanged with Kurita and Ugaki aboard YAMATO, Vice Admiral Suzuki concurred in the assessment, and ordered Shimazaki to separate from 1-YB and make for Keelung, Formosa some sixty-five nautical miles distant. After emergency repairs, she would resume the voyage to Japan, perhaps with the AOBA also limping home at Formosa at the time. Two ships of Desdiv 17, HAMAKAZE and ISOKAZE, would be detached to protect and screen her, and to standby should the worst case scenario eventuate.
At 0440, KONGO sheared out of formation to the east, heading for Keelung, followed by the two destroyers in flanking positions. The rest of 1-YB, screened only by YUKIKAZE, would proceed at flank speed for Japan as planned. At the time, KONGO's list to port was holding at 15 degrees and aboard YAMATO, Ugaki watched with some relief as the battleship turned away. He had been worried about her staying with them, but felt she would be alright now, and thus assured, went to grab some sleep. His friend, Vice Admiral Yoshio Suzuki, had declined to transfer BatDiv 3's flag and elected to remain aboard the KONGO for the trip to Keelung. It was a fateful decision.
Still making 10 knots the KONGO headed for Keelung as angry seas continued to surge into her torn hull. At this speed the Chief Navigator reported they would arrive in approximately six hours. This was far too optimistic. Though Ugaki thought she might be alright if she made emergency repairs at Keelung, it seems he and everyone else underestimated the spread and pace of the leakage. KONGO did not have six hours left; she didn't even have one. Despite heroic efforts by damage control teams and even sacrifices of divers, they were unable to shore up the gashes in the port side. Thus, not long after separating from 1-YB, KONGO's listing to port began to resume, this time heeling over beyond 20 degrees.
To compensate, Shimazaki ordered that all hands who could move to the high starboard side to help check the list. The bow was dipping deeper into the sea, and it was becoming increasingly difficult to maintain her heading. To make matters worse, the destroyers reported that the enemy waves were closing faster now. Vice Admiral Suzuki understood: the enemy had decided to make a sure kill rather than pursue the main force. The one good thing was that the stormy weather made pursuit difficult and there was some chance KONGO might yet escape. HAMAKAZE and ISOKAZE maneuvered to stay between, to foil the enemy's approach. Still, they wondered why the enemy had not already attacked?
It did not matter. SEALION's pursuit was not the greatest menace. Fifteen minutes after heading for Keelung, the list increased to 45 degrees. Still in his director, the previously confident Takahashi saw with consternation that the normally 30 meter drop to the sea had shrunk to almost jumping distance and the port rail was coming awash. Hasty flooding of starboard voids either came too late, or the valves did not work well. The engine rooms were now flooding, speed crumbled, and by 0518 KONGO was going dead in the water. She became unnavigable. A suggestion that HAMAKAZE and ISOKAZE attempt a tow was swiftly quashed; the seas were too heavy and the battleship too waterlogged. On the bridge, to Suzuki and Shimazaki the grim truth was now clear. The KONGO was, in fact, sinking , and damage control had lost the battle to prolong her life. If any confirmation was needed, it was provided when they heard the Chief DCO had committed suicide in frustration at the failure.
Reluctantly, Suzuki and Shimazaki passed the order to have all hands lay up on deck and prepare to Abandon Ship. Shimazaki ordered the ensign lowered and the crew gathered and saluted as the battleship's heel became acute. An orderly was sent for the Imperial Portrait but there would be no time for a transfer.
At about 0522 Shimazaki gave the order to Abandon Ship. With singular calm and discipline, the men began to go over the side. Isokaze and Hamakaze both moved in on the high starboard side, ignoring for the moment the danger of a second attack. The urgency now was to rescue the men from the sinking leviathan in the unfavorable conditions of heavy seas and pitch dark. Yet the danger of a second attack was very real, even imminent. At that exact moment, the breathless submariner's were watching with gratified amazement as the battleship they had damaged was seen to slow down, and then at 0520 stop dead in the water. The BB's pip seemed to be shrinking. This was puzzling, but irrelevant: this was the break they had been praying for! Unable to see the state of the enemy, Reich eagerly closed for a third attack. It was not required.
KONGO began to roll onto her beam ends as officers and crew sought to scramble and slip off her sides into the dark seas. But as the list accelerated past 60 degrees, calamity struck. At 0524 without warning, the forward 14-inch magazines exploded with four horrifying detonations and a brilliantly bright red flash. Reich wrote "sky brilliantly illuminated - it looked like a sunset at night". Pieces of metal, guns, and men were flung skyward in all directions in a fiery cauliflower of mayhem. There came a second wracking explosion, but no others followed. Within a minute, the shattered remains of KONGO were swallowed by the sea, even as HAMAKAZE and ISOKAZE pitched and rolled, having narrowly escaped slaughtering fragmentation as they approached the high side. The thunderclap of the detonation ended, and with it the illumination, with a stygian dark slamming a curtain over the disaster with a suddenness as terrifying as the explosion had been. All that was left was one of KONGO's float planes left burning on the water.
When the shock of the catastrophe had passed, the numbed destroyers signaled to YAMATO the terrible news, and set to the desperate task of seeking out any living that might yet remain in the heavy seas. It was feared that given the suddenness of the capsize, and the horrendous blast, the loss was bound to be heavy, if not total. The only bright spot was that dawn was now just over an hour away, and the sky at last already beginning to lighten. Finding survivors would be easier then. Steadily, tenaciously, the HAMAKAZE and ISOKAZE combed the sea, seeking and fishing out the bobbing forms wherever they appeared. As it happened, the destroyers were unmolested during their efforts, for the ever-professional Reich had not tarried, but immediately set course north in dogged pursuit of the YAMATO group in a chase which was not abandoned until 0742.
Unaware of this reprieve, the destroyers worked through the whole morning. When they finished, the harvest was indeed pitiful, yet perhaps, given the circumstances, better than might be expected. The HAMAKAZE rescued the larger number, seven officers and 139 petty officers and men, but it was the ISOKAZE that found KONGO's senior ranking survivor. That proved proved to be Secondary Battery Officer, LtCdr. Takahata Yutaka, whom with five other officers and eighty-five petty officers and men ISOKAZE plucked from death. Only a total of thirteen officers and 224 petty officers and men survived KONGO's catastrophic sinking. Some 1,250 perished, among them ComBatDiv 3 VAdm Suzuki Yoshio and her commanding officer, RAdm Shimazaki Toshio.
After rescuing KONGO's survivors, effort was made to ascertain the condition of the squadron commander, URAKAZE. She might even still be afloat, but unnavigable and unable to use her radio. Such had happened before, and fairly often. The Desdiv 17 men had hopes they would yet find their flagship in just such a state. Perhaps missing stern or bow, but afloat and alive, drifting down Formosa Strait. However, a long search found only a large oil slick at the site of the torpedo attack, and nothing more. Hope died and was replaced by regret. The URAKAZE had been blown into oblivion, and ComDesDiv 17 Captain Tanii Tamotsu, veteran skipper LtCdr. Yokota Yasuteru, and all hands - some fourteen officers and 293 men - lost.[See: Note 3]
The saddened remnant of the First Striking Force continued on its way, joined by FUYUZUKI and SUZUTSUKI of Desdiv 41 sent down by Combined Fleet to backup YUKIKAZE in her solo screening of the task force. They were followed soon by the HAMAKAZE and ISOKAZE. The rescuing destroyers passed through Bungo Straits and at 1400 on the 23rd arrived at Kure. There was to be little rest for the weary men of Desdiv 17. At 1215 the next day, Combined Fleet ordered Desdiv 17 to proceed with NAGATO to Yokosuka. There they were to escort the new super-carrier SHINANO from Yokosuka to the Inland Sea.
The NAGATO, Hamakaze, Isokaze, and YUKIKAZE arrived at Yokosuka on 25 November. For NAGATO, when she tied up to a buoy at 1445, life's journey was all but over. The destroyers however were, as said, assigned to escort the SHINANO. In a matter of days, they would be going right back the way they came, back to Kure.

But that is of course, another story...
All Rights Reserved,
Copyright@2001, Anthony P. Tully 2001

joegrundman 09-03-10 06:57 AM

i've listened to the sinking from the kongo - it's available from hnsa. it was indeed tracked by radar. There was i believe no overhaul, since a submarine overhauling Kongo and some DDs at full speed, if even possible, would be overhauling at about 1 knot per hour.

It took an hour if i recall for the kongo to sink, refusing at first to drop below 15 knots for fear of further torpedo attacks. 15 knots after being hit 3 times suggests that an overhaul was not likely before the attack.

This was not a point and shoot attack, nor an 80/10 attack (not that such a thing exists). All the data was gathered from radar, and a spread was fired scoring 3 hits. The insertion of the data was into the TDC which calculated the lead angles, and the shots were made. No magic, no special techniques.

This text of yours, while interesting, has no bearing at all on the discussion in this thread

tater 09-03-10 08:51 AM

Sealion made radar contact at 44,000 yards.

From combindfleet.com's Kongo TROM (note that combinedfleet, quite sensibly uses these things called "paragraphs"):
Quote:

21 November 1944:
Formosa Strait. At 0020, LtCdr (later Vice Admiral) Eli Reich's USS SEALION II (SS-315) makes radar contact at 44,000 yards. The sky is overcast with 1,500 yards visibility and the sea is calm. Reich begins an approach. He goes ahead flank on four engines. By 0043, he has four radar contacts at 35,000 yards. Reich identifies the targets as two battleships and two heavy cruisers. The targets are moving in column with the "cruiser" (actually, KONGO) ahead followed by two battleships (NAGATO and YAMATO) and a cruiser astern ( YAHAGI). All are on course 060 (T), speed 16 knots and not zigzagging.

At 0146, three escorts become visible on radar at 20,000 yards. The seas and the wind's speed increase. At 0245, SEALION turns in and slows for a surface attack. At 0256, Reich sets his Mark 18-1 electric torpedoes' depth at 8 feet to hit any destroyer that may pass in front of his target. From SEALION's bridge, KONGO's high pagoda superstructure is visible. At 3,000 yards, Reich fires his six bow tubes, then comes right full rudder to set up his stern tubes.

At 0300, after circling, SEALION stops and fires three stern torpedoes at the third ship in the column ( NAGATO) at 3,100 yards. At 0301, SEALION sees three hits on the KONGO. YAMATO's crew reports seeing two hits, flames and waterspouts. At 0304, SEALION observes a large explosion and sudden flames on the second "battleship", but these may be the hit(s) that sink destroyer URAKAZE (a veteran of the attack on Pearl Harbor) with all hands.
Regardless, the Sealion post answers none of the quite simple questions asked.

Pisces 09-03-10 10:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by joegrundman (Post 1483966)
This text of yours, while interesting, has no bearing at all on the discussion in this thread

Quite literally. From the text Greyrider quoted, you can deduce that the angle between the tracks is 111 degrees ( enemy course= 57, Sealion course= 168 -> difference 111 degrees angle on the targets starboard bow, 69 degrees port towards Sealiom target's bow. Not quite 90.

Nisgeis 09-03-10 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pisces (Post 1484102)
Quite literally. From the text Greyrider quoted, you can deduce that the angle between the tracks is 111 degrees ( enemy course= 57, Sealion course= 168 -> difference 111 degrees angle on the targets starboard bow, 69 on the port bow. Far from a 90 degree angle.

Ah but the average of the track and the AoB is 111 + 69 /2 = 90, so there's the ninety degree angle.

Or, this is post number 157, so subtract the enemy course from that and you get 100. Difference in angle of 111 - 100 = 11. 11 + 69 AoB = 90. You can get 90 from anywhere if you try.

tater 09-03-10 10:49 AM

LOL

Pisces 09-03-10 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nisgeis (Post 1484106)
Ah but the average of the track and the AoB is 111 + 69 /2 = 90, so there's the ninety degree angle.

Or, this is post number 157, so subtract the enemy course from that and you get 100. Difference in angle of 111 - 100 = 11. 11 + 69 AoB = 90. You can get 90 from anywhere if you try.

So your number system goes like this ... 5,6,7,9,10?

Now that I think of it, post 10 of this thread has the answer. It is also required to be added. ;)

p.s. cr@p, I made slight refrasing modifications in that post, but you beat me to it. wasn't anything major.

Nisgeis 09-03-10 11:16 AM

It's been over a month since this tread was started and since that time greyrider has failed to address the central issue that ha been asked about, namely the problem of 'knowing the AoB is 10 degrees'. He just refers us to other posts which don't contain the answer either and posts with increasing length and reducing content. I don't think we should hold our breath.

Greyrider, if you are interested in getting people to use this method, you need to answer the simple question of 'How do you know that the AoB is 10 degrees, or what problems will you have if the AoB is not 10 degrees.' It's been asked many times and you have never answered it.


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