Skybird |
10-20-19 05:55 AM |
I stick to what I said some days ago: the war is decided even if the battle is raging on. A PM Johnson will achieve Brexit earlier or later.
But:
to imagine that then the next war begins: because after a Brexit with a deal, NEW negotiations will begin, to make the wanted free trade treaty a reality at the end of 2020. And this treaty must be approved again by parliament. which in its current consistency most likely will endlessly block it again. So that once again the risk of a no deal Brexit raises its head.
Why that is a real danger, was illustrated by Labour in the he past hours: when I think Corbyn himself openly admitted what they really were about when supporting yesterday' s Letwin act of delaying parliament approval untl the govenrment has given it a formal, irrevokable legislation: to use the building of this legislation to again delay the whole thing and force new amendments into it that it renders Brexit pointless. Letwin said he did not want to prevent Brexit happening, he only wanted to make sure the government does not delay legislation until after October 31st so that then automatically a no-deal Brexit would happen. If he conspires with Corbyn, then Letvin was lying. He and his folks planned to do like they accuse Johnson of wanting to betray.
Get ready to have this war ending. Prepare for the next, its already in the making. :o
There is just one way to avoid it: elections, and the voters delivering Labour and the Liberals a smashing defeat that renders them helpless for the rest of the term - while not splitting votes for the Brexiteers between Farrage and Johnson, but putting all their united votes on one party only.
The polls we have posted several days ago about Brexit affinities and the likes, illustrated that the opposite most likely will happen. And so I say: brace yourself: the next war is already being mulled. I hope that EU leaders next year at the latest will be so pissed that they simply bypass Merkel and do not allow endless delays. Else this will last for years to come - mark my words. All this while the Northern Irish parliament, according to Johnson'S deal, will be allowed to vote about the customs settings in four years, and then in frequent intervalls.
Honestly said: I think the most prgmatic and most honest solution would be if both Irelands reunite and NI leaves the kingdom. Also could be a healing step regarding the strained relations between the two. As some commentator wrote yesterday: what the holocaust is for Germany, Ireland is for England: an original sin.
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