And of course now when I need this twitter status, I can't find it anymore.

Someone had shared an "important news" from some other where it claimed that Russia would nuke Ukraine in 1½ hours from now-This was 3-4 hours ago.

I should have posted a comment-Stop spreading fake news, Russia will NOT use nukes in Ukraine.

(So says my personal belief)

Markus

I suspect that the Ukrainian offensive has already begun, it has crept in, so to speak. The series of drone attacks and artillery strikes on logistic nodes in the occupied territories and in the area near the Russian border undoubtedly serve that purpose, to paralyze, demobilize and hold down the defenders of the Russian positions. Reserves the Russians hold back also will get affected by degrading mobility options, so they cannot react as planned. Ground attacks will occur only in the final phase of the offensive, although this final phase will be the longest lasting. Small attacks along the front line will probe the strength of the Russian positions in order to identify two or three particular weak points and then break through with all their force right there. If this succeeds, it would not look good for the Russian defenders on the left and right of such a breakthrough point, because they would get run around and then be attacked and broken up in their positions from the rear, as was seen in the 1991 Gulf War. For the Russians their own long trenches can become a grave.

If we do not experience massive air strikes and missile fire from the Russians in these hotspots, we know that their reserves are so depleted that they cannot muster these resources. For where, if not here, should the Russians play a remaining military trump card, if not at these points of the front, where the breakthrough is threatening...?

Whether the quantitative strength of the Ukrainians is sufficient to make major gains in terrain or to put forward a prolonged offensive remains to be seen, but I am scapotic. Their casualties were already high for their capabilities, and if the Russians are even semi-competent, the Ukrians will suffer even higher casualty rates now than they did before Kherson and Kharkiv.

I wish them good luck, and I hope I am completely wrong - but I am skeptical. The Ukrainians simply do not have as much material and ammunition as they need.


The drone fake attack staged on the Kremlin could be an attempt to pave the way for an argument to use nukes.

Preparations for the Ukrainian spring offensive seem to have really started now, one after another Russian oil depot goes up in flames, foreshadowing the expected counteroffensive. An offensive always proceeds in several phases, that is, isolating the battlefield. That involves attacks in depth, targeting logistics depots to make supplying the battlefield more difficult. If you see what is happening now in the last few days, you may well get the impression that the Ukrainians are already working on that first phase.

Agreed :yep:

Same here. Someone, who had nothing to do with the drone :up: , was able to spot it and film it. At night.. :hmmm:

The drone explodes in a large fire ball directly above a Kremlin roof, yet leaves no damage. In the real world, that kind of munition is known as "fireworks". It makes a boom and has a pretty flash but it does no damage.

:hmmm:

Also, recall how Putin rose to power in the first place. There were these terrorist bombings that might not have been terrorist bombings..

:hmmm:

How dare the Russian snatch away the Ukrainian flag, pity he didn't kicked "you know where!!" :nope:

Well, they're trying to snatch away the country so the flag would fit in well.

Germany should take this as an example, and some others, too: Denmark now runs a national holiday for the lkast time ever. The holiday got cancelled by the government and this one-day of economic gain will be used to pay a boosting of the defence budget.

It is now being reported that Ukraine have intercepted a Russian hypersonic missile for the first time, possibly a Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missile, using the newly-acquired Patriot missile system.

Another report is stating that Denmark and Germany will jointly deliver 80 Leopard 1 tanks to Ukraine. They will be ready for use in June.

The Uke got in at least one good shot.