I wonder whether ther eis more behind the Israeli actions. I do not have the impresison they just react to the unfolding of the events on a day-to-day basis, but that they follow an established, well-orchestrated long-time plan towards an end goal that existed already since long time before. The quesiton is what that goal is. I read that I am not the only one speculating on this, and that some correspondents and observers also have this impression.

Israel wants the Iranian nuclear weapon program being taken out. Said plan, if it exists, maybe is a plan for preplanned escalatory steps that are made appearing as reactions to the enemy beign pressed himself into escalating (Iranian reactions), thsi way cretaing the case for finally going after the Iranian nuclear program no matter what the Americans wish.

Iran has started already years ago to move key components of that program deeper an deeper into the mountain to escape even the strongest bunker busting and MOAB-sort of bombs. I do not know of course, but I would not principally rule out that if Israel must go that way all alone, it will use nuclear weapons on said mountain installations. I dont sday its certainb, I just say: dont rule that option out.

That Biden now voices that he would prefer Israel not even going after oil installations in Iran (obviously in a bid to not have gas prices soaring in the final election phase) shows quite something. I dont like how he handles this, I dont like how he handles ukraine. I did not like how he handled Afghanistan (I agreed on the pullout and still do, but the more time passed by since then the more I disagree with the chaotic terms and conditions).


However, I agree with both the Israeli ambition to root poutm Hamas and Hezbollah, and the desire to destroy the Iranian nuclear wepakns program. Washington and Eur0eo seem to be bitterly detemrined to see Iran finally gaining nuclar weapons - and only hiding form the public that they accepted it, instead posing as if they had tried all they can to talk the idea out of Iranian's heads.



If Isrtael succeeds in tunring Hezbollah into an imptent entitiy no logne rposjng a real threat to Israel, then i say is the time when the scenairo of Israle indeed wnatign to destroy the nculear progrma o f Iran miust be seripusly considered as a possible inbrtetion of theirs. Because Hezbollah's role why Iran send it to where it is is right this: to shield Iran from Israeli attacks on that program by threatening Israel directly. Israel is heavily commited to neutralising that capability of Hezbollah. 1 + 1 is how much?

The bigger picture...
The middle east was 'disabled' about seven years ago.. maybe earlier. Many 'leaders' (like Bibi) were replaced (as in executed) with doubles.

Keep in mind that IsRaEl was 95% jabbed.. a pfizer playground, so we're looking at many jab deaths at the 3-5 year mark, which is now!!

So logically thinking.. all these 'jab deaths' will most likely be covered up by mass missile attacks and the stupid 'can you believe it' IDF incursion slaughter into lebanon urban areas.

Ladies and Gentlemen.... IsRaEl will not exist in the next 5 years... It will be a land repatriated to it's original inhabitants.

Place your bets :up:

Predominantly Iran becomes untouchable no matter how much terror it exportt and sponsors to the world - asnd towards Israel.



Israel would be suicidal if allowing this. Israel's annihilation is Iranian state reason.



I said already ten years and longer ago that the iranian nuclear program must be ended once and for all, y by any means necessary. I think I already said that during the Iraq war 2003, mocking the belief that there were nuclear weapons in Iraq at that time. Iran was and is the problen, not Iraq, as far as nuclear weapons are concerned.



Western politicians however have already come to terms with the prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran.They do not openly admit it, but they have accepted it already years ago.

Iran have already Enriched their Uranium to above 60 % They need to get it up to 90 % or more before they can build nukes. While searching for info about this Uranium Enrichment I found this page.

https://armscontrolcenter.org/uraniu...r-for-weapons/

Edit
Found this article too and it's about Irans work towards building their own nukes

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/0...anium-00160048
End edit

Markus

The Iranian tactic of the oast 20 years was to win time and silently,l cautiously rceepign forward, planning to reach a final line from where it needs just one last sudden surprising short jump to FINISH and nobody able to react to that last sudden rush in time.



If you want to prevent it at any cost, you must intervene BEFORE that point. Once they are there its too late.

I predict following

Within the next 1-2 years, if not sooner, Israel and/or USA will implement a preemptive strike in the areas where Iran is enriching their Uranium.

Markus

I dont see that, neither with Biden nor Harris nor Trump. And two years might be too late anyway.


If you want to do it, do it now, that Hsamas and Hezbollah are seriously weakened and Iran is handicapped as well. And Israel will need to do it most likely alone.

This would make Iran go build more things. And giving them a ''reason'' to start militarizing all there nuclear facilities even more. And would for sure not let any foreign inspectors enter the country.

I did write Within the next 1-2 years.

Which in my terminology means that Israel could attack Iran between tomorrow and up to 2 years from now.

And they are going to send special unit, since no conventional bomb can penetrate the mountain and they will not use nukes.

Markus

Agreed :yep:

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar has been silent for months - now some Israelis believe he has been killed

Iran announces support for ceasefire in Lebanon, but only under one condition

nope, Virginians :D

https://i.ibb.co/VBVV9zY/virginians.jpg

Policewoman killed and 10 injured in shooting in Israel

Today mark the 1 year since Palestinians entered Israel and killed and kidnapped around 1200 people.

Now here 1 year after I have to ask what have:

The Palestinians achieved by this ?

The Israelis achieved by this

Markus

They both lost. The only thing that is kinda ''achieved'' is the world calling for a own state for Palestine. A lot of countries started to recognize Palestine as country.

You can maybe say that Israel has weakened Hamas, and Hezbollah... But this goes for years. They always remain intact...

Israeli citizens are also getting more against there government led by ''bibi''.

This is not over yet.


When it is, the Middle East will be a different one. Hezbollah'S hijacking of the Lebanese state could suffer irreparable from all this, which is good both for Israel and Lebanon, Hezbollah has assassinated many Lebanese politicians opposing it and standing in their way. Israel will not allow any foul compromise that leaves Hamas in control of Gaza strip again, Israel has learned its lesson on this day one year ago. Germany loves to say "never again", and then does not care or even does the opposite. But Israel means it. Due to existential need.


At the end could even be a great war with Iran. But if you ever were serious about preventing Iranian nuclear wepaons then you knew since two decades that it would inevitably come to this day of final decisons. Me, I never accepted the outlook of Iranian nuclear weapons. So may be done whatever needs to be done to prevent it. Preventing it is the only decisive and valid objective there is. And what the West has tried and done in the past one and a half decade or longer - HAS NOT WORKED. Iran used the time it was given to ever creep closer to the point at which they could not be stopped anymore, and the international nuclear energy commission was shown many times to be deeply corrupted in favour of the Islamic interest groups and desires by Iran. Thay cannot be trusted anymore.



Who said this century would become easier than the last one... I think we are closer to nuclear exchanges than during the cold war. In the past, it could have happened due to mishaps and accidents. These days it could happen - by intention and religous furor. Bad accidents are already bad. But bad intentions are much more fearsome.

Pretty much agree there :yep: