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-   -   Hacked Emails Show Climate Science Ridden with Rancor (https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/showthread.php?t=158478)

Thomen 11-25-09 06:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Skybird (Post 1209158)
You introduced a dirty banknote. I gave you the change in the currency you have chosen.

Good one, but unfortunately not quite true. But nice try. :up:

VipertheSniper 11-25-09 06:56 PM

Well I think your reply wasn't in any way helpful either with comparing his intellectual level to someone who writes an essay about worms when it should be about elephants just because of their trunks. I think that you didn't mean to be rude, but I can also understand SB reacting the way he does, I think he explained more then once that he knew how the name Greenland came to be and he acknowledged also that as long as the weather was all fine and dandy that the Vikings could make do with the conditions and their customs from home (Question is: For how long, even if the climate didn't change back then?).

It was warmer back then in Greenland and they could survive (eventhough their settlements went down the drain in the end)? Is that the point? Does that take away anything from the fact that once it got colder they couldn't, because of their clinging to the old ways of their home country. And who's to say that a change in climate, whether it'd be cooling or warming, wouldn't spell doom for us if we just try to resist changes that are forced on us by nature?

Thomen 11-25-09 07:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VipertheSniper (Post 1209171)
Well I think your reply wasn't in any way helpful either with comparing his intellectual level to someone who writes an essay about worms when it should be about elephants just because of their trunks. I think that you didn't mean to be rude, but I can also understand SB reacting the way he does,

Oh, I did not mean to demean his intellectual capabilities with this. He does this all by himself by calling people that disagree with him ignorant and calling them, through other, words intellectually challenged.

As I have known the story, it was more about someone who can't stay focused and that is what he is, or rather is not.

He chose to take it however he took it. It does not really matter, any how.

August 11-25-09 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VipertheSniper (Post 1209171)
...if we just try to resist changes that are forced on us by nature?

When you think about it aren't we doing exactly that when we heat our homes, water our lawns or even just wear insulated clothing?

VipertheSniper 11-25-09 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by August (Post 1209181)
When you think about it aren't we doing exactly that when we heat our homes, water our lawns or even just wear insulated clothing?

Sure thing, but when the climate doesn't allow to grow crops or raise cattle, we can heat our homes as much as we want, we'll still starve.

August 11-25-09 10:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VipertheSniper (Post 1209182)
Sure thing, but when the climate doesn't allow to grow crops or raise cattle, we can heat our homes as much as we want, we'll still starve.

We're long used our technology to support far more people than could exist in a "natural" environment.

Onkel Neal 11-25-09 11:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomen (Post 1209135)
You know, more and more of the stuff you write reminds me of the old joke from School where someone has to write a paper about elephants and instead starts writing about worms because the trunk reminds him of these.

:03:


Yeah, I was puzzled by the interjection of the Viking's history myself but I wasn't going to comment on it. I guess I do have one question, did the Vikings kill Greenland's ecosystem? It sounds like they applied the wrong farming techniques. But did they make the temperatures change?
Quote:


at all costs: an identity thing much like you cling to the socalled American way of life
Brother, I think you should look around you. Far as I can tell from my times in Germany, it's the way of life for many people.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Thomen (Post 1209175)
Oh, I did not mean to demean his intellectual capabilities with this. He does this all by himself by calling people that disagree with him ignorant and calling them, through other, words intellectually challenged.

As I have known the story, it was more about someone who can't stay focused and that is what he is, or rather is not.

He chose to take it however he took it. It does not really matter, any how.

Yes, that's fair, when Skybird claims "Hell, sometimes GT's ignorance is killing me, really." I suppose it is common for someone to take the position that others who don't agree are ignorant. But I think of it more as different perspective.

Torplexed 11-25-09 11:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Robinhood (Post 1209280)
Looking at these posts it looks like a Racial Issue to me :DL
Are Subsim forum members Racist?
Are Subsim forums only for Americans here?
I wonder :hmmm:
Sad to see this topic blown out of the water,
oooops :/\\chop :D

HuH? Not unless talking about Vikings behind their backs is racist. In which case Green Bay is in a lot of trouble....:D

Sailor Steve 11-26-09 01:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neal Stevens (Post 1209265)
I guess I do have one question, did the Vikings kill Greenland's ecosystem? It sounds like they applied thw wrong farming techniques. But did they make the temperatures change?

No, but they were adversely affected by it.

My original disagreement was based on what I read from historians from the mid-twentieth century, especially Samuel Eliot Morison, who saw Erik's naming of the land as a sales pitch. But just today I was talking to a friend who studies both archeology and anthropology, and he said that those historians suffered from the same lack of knowledge that their early 13th-century sources did - a belief that climate is static.

My friend pointed to the recent discovery of whole farms, with buildings and fences, under the Greenland icecap. Apparently what AVG said was true - the evidence is that the Vikings settled a truly green land, and their colony later died out as the Greenland climate grew colder and the current icecap formed.

It looks like the weather changes really are an ongoing cycle, and current (or recent) warming trends are just a part of that cycle.

Skybird 11-26-09 07:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Neal Stevens (Post 1209265)
Yeah, I was puzzled by the interjection of the Viking's history myself but I wasn't going to comment on it. I guess I do have one question, did the Vikings kill Greenland's ecosystem? It sounds like they applied thw wrong farming techniques. But did they make the temperatures change?

They used their existing knowledge to the best understanding of theirs, and they could not know the differences between Greenland and Scandinavia - they had to learn them by experiencing Greenland over a longer time. Greenland was not just like Scandinavia -Greenland was NEW, althigz it looked inviting and green and very much the same - but it wasn't the same. They used experiences from Scandinavia, but these were inadequate - but they could not know that when arriving. Indeed, they killed those parts of the ecosystem within the reach of their settlements, those parts of the ecosystem that were in the main vital to their own survival and formed the basis of any form of agriculture and farming. Many societies of the past did that, and by that terminated themselves. Mind you, there were only two settlements at the southern tips, and only around 5-6 thousand vikings - we talk of the vikings on Greenland, but indeed they did not settle on the whole island, but lived in a very small, tiny region only. Climate change, you asked. The differences in the vegetation growth rates existed from the beginning on, so the Vikings already had met more difficult living conditions after roughly the first third of their total stay on Greenland, and then the climate cooling added to their problems, accelerating them. but they would have failed to survive anyway even without the climate chnage, because they refused to adapt to the needs of this different world the lived in even when the problems became life-threatening. Mind you, they died by hunger and at some places we even found signs for cannibalism - with seals and fish in the ocean aplenty! They refused to learn how to hunt seals in tiny, fast boots the Inuit use, because the looked down on the Inuits, killed them for fun, and called them dwarfs. It was their own arrogance preventing them to learn, for supremacist self-definitions. So even without the climate changing, the vikings stood in their own way by sticking to their cultural identity and self-definition - without willing to change these, although survival demanded this. Even at the height of the cooling they still dressed in the latest fahsion styles that they learned of from europe. Contributij gto the problems that they had no iron ore on Gereenland, only so-called grass-iron, which was of minor qulaity, and the tress they had chopped did not grow again in time. they had to important iron all the time, and wood in the past third of their stay. But what to pay with? Their most precious trading good was ivory, but europe won new markets and trading routes to the East, so this potential trading ace lost in importance.

another reason was that the scandianvian king, who finally claimed possession of Greenland, was not overly interested in Greenland and thus regular shipping was rare, and died down to zero when the shipping lines got shut by sea ice. Also take into account that the desire of wanting to remain a part of european/Nordic culture made the Norse on Greenland invest tremendous efforts and ressources in establishing churches and contributing to the social life as demanded by the churche's rites, which send bishops to greenland (a position that was not popular, becausue the Norse were known for their notorious fights and trouble-making). For maintaining this sacral network, they pend much time and effort and ressources that were not free anymore for mainting their survival. To an even greater extreme you can see this kind of pro-religious anti-survival behavior in the example of the Easter Island. Much of what I said on the greenlanders, you see even more exemplarically (?) demonstrated in the culture of the Easter Island.

So, cooling climate accelerated the viking's fall on Greenland. But it did not initially cause it. They would have failed even without changing climate.

Quote:

Brother, I think you should look around you. Far as I can tell from my times in Germany, it's the way of life for many people.
Americanism, jeans, Macdonalds and Rock'n Roll is spread around the globe, yes. So what? That is not the point I was after. The point is that people being isolated from their home culture, like the British moving to Australia or the Norse moving to Greenland, often try to stick to their cultural roots by living the home customs and rites very exemplary and trying to be at least as British/as Nordic as the people of the home culture they left behind. The British did not like the vegetation in Australia, it looked so unpleasant and alien, so until just years ago the government punished farmers that bought land but did not kill a certain ammount of bushes and trees every year. If you bought farming land in australia, you were under an obligation of removing so and so much of bushland and forest from it (now tell Australians about erosion...) The Australian sheep keeping only functions by stellar subsidies, and the australin agriculture in general is probably the most expensively running system world-wide - compared to that the artifical watering of giant monoculturess in the US or in Israel, is cheap. They export huge ammounts of corn, but by can do that only by enormous subsidies. Left to themselves, their farmers would not be competitive.

This counterproductive habit derives from the colonisation era, though! This has done insane ammonts of damage by erosion to the farming soil in Australia, and it has skyrocketted problems with water supply, and salienation. Agriculture and sheep in Australia - that would be a book in itself. The British wanted to replace the local vegetation with the kind of vegetation they knew from home (Britain). They wanted fox hunts, so they brought in foxes. I must not tell you about the problem of rabbits and foxes in Australia, the story is widely known, yes? Rabbits are a natural disaster of top rank in Australia. But they had been brought there.

Introduction of foreign species is one of the worst man-made ecological disasters there are. It often changes the face of whole countries - or even a whole continent. No matter if it is voluntary (foxes+rabbits ->AUS) or unvoluntary (unwanted animal passengers of shipping traffic).



Quote:

Yes, that's fair, when Skybird claims "Hell, sometimes GT's ignorance is killing me, really." I suppose it is common for someone to take the position that others who don't agree are ignorant. But I think of it more as different perspective.
that is somewhat unfair. My comment you quote was due to people time and again replying in complete and total ignorrance of what I just said and already had repeated several times. If you spend time repeatedly to give an explanation and then immediately see people behaving as if the explanation has not been given even a single time, by that implying you are ignorrant yourself by not agreeing to a different view that by your explanation you nevertheless have already adressed and demonstrated to be wrong, then this is very frustrating and can cause anger. This is the only context in which you see my quoted comment, please.

Oh, and you asked why I brought up the Vikings. You made assumptions about the future by describing the present, you remember. I wanted to demonstrate that that may not be a valid argument, and that exactly this has led past societies to their doom. The Norse also made assumptions about the future (in Greenland), by refering to their past and present they knew (from Scandinavia). You said if the present is so well as it is right now (in your opinion), how could somebody be so pessimistic about the future. And the Vikings thought if their keeping of cows was managable and their farming methods worked so nice in Scandinavia (actually, there was plenty of hunger in Scandianvia, but they got along, all in all), why shouldn't all this work here in Greenland as well when the place looks so very much the same like we use to know if from back home? They saw Greenland analogously to Scandinvia, which was a mistake, like you see the future analogously to the present, which I think also is a mistake. This I wanted to demonstrate, and if my initial explanation on the Vikings would not have met so much repeated ignorance for what I just said, it would have been all much shorter.

August 11-26-09 06:46 PM

I think this entire Viking tangent can be summed up thusly:

"Natural Climate Change. Sneaky enough to fool the Vikings."

or perhaps:

"Natural Climate Change pwns 14th century technology"

baggygreen 11-28-09 10:01 AM

I'd just like to make a point, sky mentions that the more recent decade of cooling is the result of a plateauing of manmade nasty CO2 emissions.

Fact remains though, that there is no evidence to suggest this is the case, other than... what?

computer models, for which there is evidence of tampering?

the fact that CO2 emissions have risen while temperatures have dropped? oh, wait, that doesn't help does it... whoops

It is important to remember that yes, there are thousands of peer reviewed papers out there saying warming is our fault and CO2 is to blame. However, also remember that the scientists implicated by these emails are the source of many of these reports. Not to mention the data that was cited by countless other papers, data for which there is evidence of tampering... Also remember the IPCC uses lots of data from the CRU and they are cited as an authority. if their data is flawed, how authoritative are they?

remember, not one prediction by computer models have come to pass. I thought the ice sheet should have melted by now... http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/a...r_predictions/

Skybird 11-28-09 11:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by baggygreen (Post 1210307)
I'd just like to make a point, sky mentions that the more recent decade of cooling is the result of a plateauing of manmade nasty CO2 emissions.

It's not really a cooling, but a pause in further raising temperature - a (temporary) stagnation. But even a slight fluctuation in ups and downs would only be natural and not really meaning a reversing of the general trend.

Also, you quote me wrong. No scientist as far as I know ever said there is a "plateauing in CO2 emissions by man", nor did I. There is a plateauing of global mean temperature - a pause in further rising, with micro fluctuations that so far nobody can conclude to indicate a changing trend. One sunny day does not make a summer, one rainy day does not end the summer. Just some years of stabile global temperatures, even small declines in temperature means, do not indicate a reversing of the trend of warming.

Quote:

I thought the ice sheet should have melted by now...
On ice.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/8357537.stm
http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/index.html
http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/seaice.html
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...ticreport.html
http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/ocean.html
http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/atmosphere.html
http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/reportcard/greenland.html

Glacier ice around the world has continued to shrink , too. A prominent ammount of once known glaciers already has disappeared over the past 100 years. The trend of shrinking glaciers continued in 2009.

If glaciers do not bother you, then open the picture search of Google, enter "glacier comparison", and check the resulting images which compare the same perspetive on the named regions in two pictures, one taken in the past ten years, and one taken usually around 1900-1940. If the differences you can see with many glaciers do not shock you, then nothing ever will. Note that these chnages are not just temproary or saeasonal, but that huge forest may have grown where just decades ago 20 m and more of thick ice was present all year long.

You could also take this link for a start:
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Glacier_Gallery
Some of those photos are so impressive that they speak for themselves.

I think I have posted a picture thread on this some years ago, haven't I?!

Finally, note that many scientists having published their findings about temperature mean values currently plateauing and sun activity having changed, explicitly warn of taking this as an argument that global warming is mainly depending on sun acivity, is a fiction , and not real. These scientists often explicitly point out that they do not want to be understood that way, and that there findings about sun activity should not be taken as an argument to question man's influence on warming climate, sicne their findings do not support such a far-leading claim. That is some detail that GW sceptics often do not quote when referring to them, they just pick what they like and rip it out of context, ignoring the rest that puts it into relation.


People really have to differ between a general trend, and micro-cycles and natural fluctuations that take place inside that trend. You cannot conclude on trends by referring to micro-cycles and natural fluctuations. that would be like commenting on one year's seasonl weather developements by taking the weather statistics of just one day.

August 11-28-09 06:27 PM

The essential point is that human caused global warming, if it exists, is not going to be addressed, let alone solved, by setting unobtainable carbon limits or creating international wealth redistribution schemes. The only true way to limit the human effect on the planet is to limit the numbers of humans on the planet.

Folks will say this is unacceptable and or impossible but we cannot keep increasing our numbers and expect that any conservation scheme will be successful.

NeonSamurai 11-28-09 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by August (Post 1210527)
The essential point is that human caused global warming, if it exists, is not going to be addressed, let alone solved, by setting unobtainable carbon limits or creating international wealth redistribution schemes. The only true way to limit the human effect on the planet is to limit the numbers of humans on the planet.

Folks will say this is unacceptable and or impossible but we cannot keep increasing our numbers and expect that any conservation scheme will be successful.

Unfortunately I tend to agree. We keep stretching our environment/ecosystem, sooner or later its going to break and snap in our face.

Skybird 11-28-09 07:52 PM

For once I must agree with August. Population numbers are a top priority variable. And I do not see any humane, civilised solution there. It is not only about emmissions, but ressouce consummation as well. And in the finance system, it is about liviong beyond our means, too.

Intersting and very true German comment on the latter point just released this evening:
http://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/articl...yes#reqdrucken

SteamWake 11-29-09 09:41 AM

Since as usual the topic at hand is being avoided and some other bizzare tanget is being discussed I will introduce yet another odd tangent.

Why arent the enviromentilist and climatilogist expressing dismay over this ?

Quote:

CARACAS, Venezuela — Hugo Chavez says he is starting to "bombard" clouds now that Cuba has provided Venezuela with cloud-seeding help in an effort to produce rain and alleviate the effects of a severe drought.
Now thats man made climate change ;)

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,...est=latestnews

SteamWake 11-30-09 01:00 PM

Climate change data 'dumped'

In what amounts to destroying of evidence...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Times Online
SCIENTISTS at the University of East Anglia (UEA) have admitted throwing away much of the raw temperature data on which their predictions of global warming are based.
It means that other academics are not able to check basic calculations said to show a long-term rise in temperature over the past 150 years.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/new...cle6936328.ece

nikimcbee 11-30-09 05:03 PM

Wow, the news on this gets more interesting by the minute.:hmmm:

Just follow the money:D. ...or should I say funding and potential tax revenue:hmmm:

G.K. 11-30-09 05:23 PM

Just one brief reaction...
In our country (former Czechoslovakia) in the times of communist regime (1948-89) the communist propaganda used one quite an interesting slogan:

,,We will command the rain and wind..."

Our generation (post-communist) used to laugh to it. It's a stupidity, isn't it?
Then we found out that certain politicians want to command not the weather, but the climate... :nope:
And why, beacuse of never proven relation of CO2 - Global temperatures?
Or the ,,scientific" dates as seen above?


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