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-   -   Merkel "Georgia will become a member of Nato" (https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/showthread.php?t=140892)

Sea Demon 08-19-08 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kazuaki Shimazaki II
Your basis for this? It is to no one's advantage.

It's already been said that it will happen. It is to no one's advantage to allow Russia's unwarranted hostile military movements with no consequences. When you put both on the scales, that appears to be the case.

Quote:

They aren't great signs, but again, it is very early in the new game, and it is unrealistic to expect all of them to be completely moved into neutrality with one battle. In fact, it is almost predictable they'll start sucking up to NATO, desperately trying to increase their value coefficient and the probability NATO would save them if push comes to shove.
However, NATO has not seriously responded to this one.

Eventually, the two lines will cross, and Russia's neighbors realize NATO (dominated by the richer Western members) are not really all that interested in backing them against Russia. What would they do? Get neutral.
NATO has not seriously responded in a military fashion. But many negative repercussions have still happened against Russia. What response should NATO provide at this point? Russia's busy screwing themselves over, and giving gifts like more support from former Soviet states, and giving Bush his missile defense deal on a silver platter. Those dynamics are very helpful to the alliance whether you can see that or not.

Quote:

Well, considering it was supposed to be an emergency move in response to the Georgians, it is probably defensible for Putin and Medvedev to move the troops in under the President's Commander-in-Chief authority and so on.
As for the UN, yes, but here's where the US kind of kicked itself with that whole Iraq thing. Remember, they couldn't even find the WMD in the end... By extension, it is all right for Russia to claim to be stopping a genocide, go in, and find none...
Oh please. I know that you truly wish to be the Minister of Propaganda for Russia. :lol: The US actually had a UN resolution and ceasefire agreement for Iraq. There was legal framework in place despite the nonsense from the idiots. Russia had no such thing. And the US had their legislative body actually vote for action. Russia's "Unilateral" military actions was unwarranted according to the sources that have been telling us how it should be done. I expected the whiny voices to be shouting for Russia to go to the UN for "approval". Don't try and mince the issue here. This doesn't work for me.

Quote:

In the meantime, they just continue to chew up the buffer zone, improve the COF and total frontier area (invasion avenues) against Russia. I bet the German ambassador was not threatening Molotov, even as they prepare for Operation Barbarossa. I think I can forgive the Russians for valuing actions over words.
That's OK. Their actions are only defeating their own purposes.


Quote:

They weren't before?
Nope. Not to such a negatrive extent. But Putin has now assured the hostile realignment against his country. I don't care what propaganda you provide for Russia KS. The Russians now have aligned states more watchful against a potentially hostile Russia on their borders now. It is almost assured they will all be a part of NATO in the near future. Not only that, but now with a negative vibe against Russia. And ready and eager to please the USA/NATO. Thanks Putin.

Quote:

Such a question is like asking whether unconditional surrender is good given that you have absolutely zip options left.
Try this: If you believe you have a faint chance to avoid unconditional surrender, will you take it, even though it might somewhat (not a lot) worsen your position if you fail and are forced to take the surrender?
None of this has any bearing to the situation at hand. Russia had a chance to ensure peaceful relations with the inevitable and foiled it. Nothing you can do to clean that up.

Quote:

Try and convince one nation not to go along, by hook or crook? Heck, if he gets only the Ukraine it'll still be worth a lot.
He's not going to get Ukraine. They themselves are making that clear. Neither by hook or crook. Ukraine is looking seriously to the West now more than ever as wanting to become a part of it. I'm certain that this will help them get into NATO on a quicker timetable. This could easily become part of the slap coming from NATO. The fool Putin has handed us gifts. Time for us to reap the rewards. And it looks like we will.

Sea Demon 08-19-08 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Skybird
Says somebody who was driven by illusions abiut Iraq, claims moral superiuroirty for his side that it already had betrayed, and who makes arguments that are no arguments at all: becasue the shift towards NAO in Eatserneuropean nations already was there, for they almost irrationally hate Russia for historic reasons - no matter what Russia does or does not (we German can sing a song of that regarding Poland's nationalistic camp as well), and the missile shield would have been established anyway, with opr woithout Russia going into Georgia. And you reaction shows that the Russians saw it tiotally correct when they always claimed it is a project that is also directed against the, and a valid military threat. What NATO has gotten here is - a self-fulfilling prohecy.

Okay, happy marching then. I shall find your mental distortions most amusing. :lol:

My goodness Skybird. Almost everything you predict never comes true. Every tragic consequence you have said regarding Iraq has been the opposite. You lost your credibility long ago. The Chalmers Johnson world of Skybird has never come true, nor is it looking likely. There is really no need to address your grand delusions any further. I have answered above everything you have said here. Including the energy situation Europe has gotten itself into. Nothing you or anybody can say at this point will show Russia a winner in this situation. The dynamics totally favor the NATO position, despite the rough road to get here. Russia ain't going to do anything regarding energy. That's their last and only link of influence. They don't want to lose that by forcing Europe into another direction. Believe me, there is plenty Europe can do to address this. Unfortunately Europe allows itself to be vulnerable and at the mercy of others. Whether it's Muslims or the Russians. When push comes to shove, I believe you guys will eventually learn. Until then, continue reading your fatalist books and internet articles, go in a corner and continue deceiving yourself that you're some kind of Nostradamus, or go watch your Sido video's on MTV or whatever else a guy like you likes to do.

cobalt1 08-19-08 09:57 AM

Funny how everyone cries when Russia has a little scuffle with a neighbor, when the US, backed by NATO invades two countries half a world away. It's hilarious how some of you guys from the US call Russia imperialistic!

get a clue and take your blinders off.

Sea Demon 08-19-08 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cobalt1
Funny how everyone cries when Russia has a little scuffle with a neighbor, when the US, backed by NATO invades two countries half a world away. It's hilarious how some of you guys from the US call Russia imperialistic!

get a clue and take your blinders off.

Sorry cobalt, but time for you to see the world for what it is. Where is the UN authorization for Russia's actions? Isn't that the way it's supposed to be done? Did you actually read the post GW1 ceasefire agreements and the legal framework within allowing the US to invade if Saddam broke those agreements? Did Russia take "Unilateral" action, or did they go to the UN to get "approval" like the whiny voices say it should be done? Seriously, what international approval did the Russians get to take the hostile actions they did?

cobalt1 08-19-08 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sea Demon
Quote:

Originally Posted by cobalt1
Funny how everyone cries when Russia has a little scuffle with a neighbor, when the US, backed by NATO invades two countries half a world away. It's hilarious how some of you guys from the US call Russia imperialistic!

get a clue and take your blinders off.

Sorry cobalt, but time for you to see the world for what it is. Where is the UN authorization for Russia's actions? Isn't that the way it's supposed to be done? Did you actually read the post GW1 ceasefire agreements and the legal framework within allowing the US to invade if Saddam broke those agreements? Did Russia take "Unilateral" action, or did they go to the UN to get "approval" like the whiny voices say it should be done? Seriously, what international approval did the Russians get to take the hostile actions they did?


your ignorance must be bliss.

Happy Times 08-19-08 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cobalt1
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sea Demon
Quote:

Originally Posted by cobalt1
Funny how everyone cries when Russia has a little scuffle with a neighbor, when the US, backed by NATO invades two countries half a world away. It's hilarious how some of you guys from the US call Russia imperialistic!

get a clue and take your blinders off.

Sorry cobalt, but time for you to see the world for what it is. Where is the UN authorization for Russia's actions? Isn't that the way it's supposed to be done? Did you actually read the post GW1 ceasefire agreements and the legal framework within allowing the US to invade if Saddam broke those agreements? Did Russia take "Unilateral" action, or did they go to the UN to get "approval" like the whiny voices say it should be done? Seriously, what international approval did the Russians get to take the hostile actions they did?


your ignorance must be bliss.

His case would still be stronger in the court.

Tchocky 08-19-08 10:08 AM

Ah yes, the court cases where one war is pitted against another. To see who wins.

Digital_Trucker 08-19-08 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cobalt1

your ignorance must be bliss.

If he's ignorant of some fact, why don't you share those facts that are in your possession to disprove his point? Comparing Georgia to Afghanistan and Iraq is rather shallow, IMO.

Sea Demon 08-19-08 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mikhayl
The word "specious" comes to mind :)

In what way? Either the UN is the vehicle used to get approval to go to war or it's not. If not, then the whiny little idiots of Europe and North America need to shut up about Iraq and a potential Iranian strike. If that's the way it is supposed to be done, then Russia should be condemned for their "Unilateral" actions. Many words come to mind here for me.

Sea Demon 08-19-08 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mikhayl

This and 687 gave the US defacto ability to reengage if Saddam did not comply with the ceasefire agreements of 687. But now, you're just deflecting the question Mikhayl. Did Russia seek UN approval or did they take "Unilateral" action without international approval? It all backfired on Putin anyway so it doesn't matter to me at all. But seriously, is the UN relevant to you or not? Are the whiners correct or not. I think the Russians answered this fundamental question correctly, even if counterproductive to their interests.

Digital_Trucker 08-19-08 11:08 AM

UN Resolution 1441 http://daccessdds.un.org/doc/UNDOC/G...df?OpenElement

Quote Mikhayl's source :
Quote:

Hans Blix, chief UN weapons inspector, delivered several reports to the UN Security Council on his team's search for chemical and biological weapons inside Iraq. In his first report, Blix said, "Iraq appears not to have come to a genuine acceptance, not even today, of the disarmament that was demanded of it." In February, he ordered Iraq to destroy its Al Samoud 2 missiles, which he determined had an illegal range limit; Iraq began complying in its typically foot-dragging manner. Once Iraq began to show signs of cooperation, Blix urged the members of the Security Council to give the inspectors more time to complete the task. President Bush was repeatedly angered by Blix's measured, circumspect reports that failed to provide the president with a "smoking gun" that justified an invasion of Iraq. He retired in June 2003.
The only actual fact in that quote is the quote from Blix's report. The rest is interpretation of events that transpired afterwards.

Transcript of Blix's presentation to the UN secutiry council http://www.cnn.com/2003/US/02/14/spr....transcript.1/

Instead of allowing journalists to decide for you what happened, why not read the resolution and blix's report and make your own decision.


Edit : As for what's happening now, I don't recall anything being brought before the UN regarding the attack on Georgia. I also don't recall any warnings being issued to Georgia by Russia to cease and desist or they would attack. If anyone has information on that, please correct me.

Thomen 08-19-08 11:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sea Demon
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mikhayl

This and 687 gave the US defacto ability to reengage if Saddam did not comply with the ceasefire agreements of 687. But now, you're just deflecting the question Mikhayl. Did Russia seek UN approval or did they take "Unilateral" action without international approval? It all backfired on Putin anyway so it doesn't matter to me at all. But seriously, is the UN relevant to you or not? Are the whiners correct or not. I think the Russians answered this fundamental question correctly, even if counterproductive to their interests.

Uh.. 687 was the resolution about the invasion of Kuwait and its aftermath. Using that as justification for the 2003 campaign is really a stretch of things.

Konovalov 08-19-08 11:13 AM

WARNING, WARNING WILL ROBINSON. YOU ARE IN DANGER!

We have another Iraq war UN resolution legality debate. :damn: :damn: :damn: :damn:

We're all doomed. :dead:

Sea Demon 08-19-08 11:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Konovalov
WARNING, WARNING WILL ROBINSON. YOU ARE IN DANGER!

We have another Iraq war UN resolution legality debate. :damn: :damn: :damn: :damn:

We're all doomed. :dead:

You're right. It's clear the legal framework was in place to ensure enforcement of the peace agreement in Iraq from GW1 and only deflects from the real issue. How Russia screwed itself in multiple counterproductive ways, and whether or not these Russian hostile "Unilateral" actions are of any concern to the whiny little tarts of Europe and North America.

Thomen 08-19-08 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Konovalov
WARNING, WARNING WILL ROBINSON. YOU ARE IN DANGER!

We have another Iraq war UN resolution legality debate. :damn: :damn: :damn: :damn:

We're all doomed. :dead:

I could not care less about the 'legality'. I do not even care if a war is sanctioned by the UN, as long it is fought for the right reasons. Seeking justification in a resolution that was not intended for the specific purpose and is rather out dated, because you can not reasonably justify it otherwise, that's when it becomes somewhat of a Grey area.

But, everyone is allowed to have his/hers own opinion. Would be truly sad and boring if everybody would allways agree.


Back on topic:

What people seem to forget is a.) Georgia was the aggressor in that case. They tried to invade and take back South Ossetia. b.) Russia still considered the citizens of the a fore mentioned province as Russian citizens. That makes it de facto a Russian affair. It is unfortunate, but that is how it is.


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