Quote:
Originally Posted by Jimbuna
(Post 2524672)
That is very true but I seriously believe it will be mainly Angela who will direct which way voting will take place.
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And there again is it - this strange "British folly" that Germany will save you. :) Actually, the net payers are in the minority in the EU, the net receivers have the majority, also in the ECB control boards. And these do not like that one of their milking cows - you Brits - are leaving so that they cnanot benefit from you anymore. These net receiving states will overrule Germany. And France thinks this is a greatb opprutnity to settle some "open bills" with it sowld prime rival Britain anyway. The French want to teach you a lesson.
And Merkel - I tell you what, her era is over. She is seriously weakned. Just two days ago she has lost a very major behind-the-curtain showdown, her candidate for becoming the head of the Konrad-Adenauer Foundation, wich is the German cornerstone in forming and defining German trans-atlantic interests and relations, has given up the race, and in goes a man that is far more independent from omni-controlling Angela: she wanted to prevent him at all costs, and lost. The negotiations for a Jamaica-coalition are gojgn badly as well, and the Merkel party hasd just dropped to the lowest point scores in six years, with a majoity of people now refusing the prospect of Jamaica (it is an idioccy anyway). The demand of Germany to get a certain man on the seat of Draghi, the current chief of the Bundesbank, also finds bitter resostance in brussels and the EU and Euro institutions, and I cannot see that he will make it. Probbaly a German it will be after Draghi, but not this one. Another major defeat for Merkel.
You overestimate both Merkel'Spower, and influence, and her words on brexit as well. Her era is over. And that we will have new generla elections in the forseeable future since no government gets build, is absolutely realsitic a scenario now. As long as the reds, the SPD, do not join in a continuation of the drama of a great coalition. For which their price may be to see Merkel going out, too.
Merkel is as good as over, she will never recover to her influence of past years. Even inside her own party and her sister party, the vultures started to rise.
Its good that she is done, her style and polcy was a disaster for Germany. But I cannot see anyone coming after her who is less bad than she was. Only bad option there are, only bad options. And the slow-motion-collapse of the FIAT money system looming above all. Due to its unique labour time models, germany was able to sit out the outbreak of symptoms in 2007. This time I doubt that even germany can just sit it out. It has not invested its profits in material assets, but paper-money-system based print assets - which will all collapse in fictional value as well then. And this will rupture the German social systems on all levels and civil society as well.
Or in short words: Merkel will not save you. ;) She has both hands full with counting her days and desperately trying to buy some more time. hioch will cost her party dearly, sinc she currently sells the last remains of the CDU's former profile, trying to bring the Jamaica coaltion ogether by giving up the last long held positions by the CDU. And who votes for a party that stands for nothing anymore than pure 100% self-serving opportunism, and for which everything, evertyhing is negotiable? Such a party is free of any features and characteristics, own views and own positions. And that is why it has dropped to its lowest score in 6 years since the negotiations for a coalition began.