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-   -   What exactly are we accusing the Russians of doing concerning our election? (https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/showthread.php?t=231473)

ikalugin 06-15-17 05:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Catfish (Post 2491520)
quote from link ^

"President Vladimir Putin
said in recent comments to reporters
that criminals inside the country
could have been involved
without having been sanctioned
by the Russian government."


:D

As I said this:
http://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentar...ssia_want_7297
article may be of interest.

Catfish 06-15-17 06:04 AM

While it may be that "several" different takes on "meddling" with "the West" done by not one but several "organisations" are taking place simultaneously, one thing is sure: Nothing happens without Putin's knowledge and affirmation. Which is why this declaration is so funny, and obvious nonsense.
It is like those "talks" betwen Putin and Medjedjew back then in the TV: Everyone in the world instantly knew that this was staged and found this ridiculous, and i wonder if any russians really believed that show.
"Meddling" with the outcome of national elections of other nations.. Putin sure is not dumb but he should be careful.

ikalugin 06-15-17 06:28 AM

Quote:

Nothing happens without Putin's knowledge and affirmation.
This is a (convenient) myth.

And this is not only true regarding foreighn stuff, this is true regarding domestic stuff, for example Shaltai-Boltai group, which was affiliated with an FSB officer got closed not for their political actions (Medvedev was especially badly hit due to his exposure) but for going comercial.

p.s.
The other cause behind this myth (apart from how convenient it is politically) is projection. US has the most advanced cyberwarfare apparatus in the world at the moment, with the best organisation, most advanced institutions, etc. That vision is projected onto the very young Russian cyberwarfare efforts, which are currently based on semi independent personally (as in to a specific officer who provides legal cover for them) affiliated non interconnected hacker groups.
So not only Putin doesnt know what they do, but their own running officers may not know what they do.

Catfish 06-15-17 07:09 AM

So you say western fear of Russia is again exagerrated?

Military expenses could not keep up back then up to 1989, we read that the US-alleged russian military capabilities were exagerrated and (ab)used to get more money for their own military.
I guess this was true, however regarding hacking and cyber warfare we can expect all do it; when it comes to Russia i think you underestimate your people's capabilities :yep:

ikalugin 06-15-17 08:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Catfish (Post 2491582)
So you say western fear of Russia is again exagerrated?

Yes, for the time being we do not have compatable capability and we are currently focusing on cyber security/hardenening and enablers.

Quote:

I guess this was true, however regarding hacking and cyber warfare we can expect all do it; when it comes to Russia i think you underestimate your people's capabilities
We do cyber, the issue is that the nature of our cyber capability is not understood when people make statements like how Putin would be atleast aware of such operations, especially in how there is no chain of command, no enforced control, etc.

I can speculate regarding the reasons behind this and in addition to political convenience my guess is that US experts project their own approaches to cyber operations (for example where hard kill cyber requires direct authorisation by POTUS) to our operations (where officers primarily in law enforcement cover for hacker groups personally affiliated with them).

Nippelspanner 06-15-17 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ikalugin (Post 2491604)
We do cyber, the issue is that the nature of our cyber capability is not understood when people make statements like how Putin would be atleast aware of such operations, especially in how there is no chain of command, no enforced control, etc.

Not officially, no.

Rockstar 06-15-17 09:07 AM

From CIA Fact book


Quote:

Emerging National Programs/Nation States

We are detecting, with increasing frequency, the appearance of doctrine and dedicated offensive cyber warfare programs in other countries. We have identified several, based on all-source intelligence information, that are pursuing government-sponsored offensive cyber programs. Foreign nations have begun to include information warfare in their military doctrine, as well as their war college curricula, with respect to both defensive and offensive applications. They are developing strategies and tools to conduct information attacks. Those nations developing cyber programs recognize the value of attacking adversary computer systems, both on the military and domestic front. Just as foreign governments and the military services have long emphasized the need to disrupt the flow of information in combat situations, they now stress the power of cyber warfare when targeted against civilian infrastructures, particularly those that could support military strategy.

Many of the countries whose cyber warfare programs we follow are the same ones that realize that, in a conventional military confrontation with the United States, they will not prevail. These countries perceive that cyber attacks, launched from within or outside the U.S., against public and private computer systems in the U.S., represent the kind of asymmetric option they will need to level the playing field during an armed crisis against the United States.

Just as foreign governments and their military services have long emphasized--and still do--the need to disrupt the flow of information in combat situations, they now also stress the power of "Information Warfare" when targeted against civilian information infrastructures. The following statements by high-level foreign defense or military officials illustrate the importance of information warfare in the decades ahead.

In an interview a senior Russian official commented that an attack against a national target such as transportation or electrical power distribution would - and I quote - ". . . by virtue of its catastrophic consequences, completely overlap with the use of [weapons] of mass destruction."

A Chinese General in 1996 indicated in a military publication that in future wars computers would be vulnerable in three ways. "We can make the enemy’s command centers not work by changing their data system. We can cause the enemy’s headquarters to make incorrect judgment by sending disinformation. We can dominate the enemy’s banking system and even its entire social order."

As these anecdotes illustrate, the battle space of the information age would surely include attacks against our domestic infrastructure.

Makes sense, governments which cannot monetarily support a military conflict against the US. Can at a fraction of the cost direct funds to develope cyber warfare systems and doctrine that can cripple us. Not only will our soldiers be fighting abroad some would have to remain behind to maintain order in our own country after infrastructures collapse.

Just look at the information being spread out there today it has us looking at each other as the enemy over the two most commonly talked about subjects known to mankind party politics and the weather. Someone said a nation divided will fall much easier. I suggest rather than shooting each other over stupid sheet like this just go fishing.

I took an oath too very similar to Comey's. Some people think that complaining and finger pointing day and night somehow makes them patriots. But I can tell you it takes a lot more than that to live by it. It takes hard physical labor, sacrifice, blood, sweat, tears, staying up til the wee hours, being away from home, getting the job done. And believe it or not it takes one heckuva amount of trust that those in authority will do the right thing and do what it takes to protect this country. Just as they trusted me to do the right thing. As Comey said there are people and organizations that want to tear us down lets not make it any easier for them.

ikalugin 06-15-17 09:18 AM

Quote:

Not officially, no.
Nor unofficially, as there is no chain of command or enforced control.

vienna 06-15-17 01:40 PM

...and how many times have you ever heard a guilty criminal deny any implication by saying "that other guy did it"?...

...and do you really believe Putin is by any means a paragon of truthfulness?...

...or, perhaps, Putin is just quoting a famous US politician: "I am not a crook".




<O>

Platapus 06-15-17 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vienna (Post 2491493)

Quote:

The hackers accessed software designed to be used by poll workers on Election Day...
If this is true, and it has not been confirmed, this would move this issue toward actually interfering with the election instead of just influencing the election.

Rockstar 06-15-17 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vienna (Post 2491695)
...and how many times have you ever heard a guilty criminal deny any implication by saying "that other guy did it"?...



<O>

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. It shows that 4.1 percent of defendants who are sentenced to death in the United States are later shown to be innocent: 1 in 25.

Death sentences are uniquely well-documented. We don’t know nearly enough about other kinds of criminal cases to estimate the rate of wrongful convictions for those. The rate could be lower than for capital murders, or it could be higher. Of course, in a country with millions of criminal convictions a year and more than 2 million people behind bars, even 1 percent amounts to tens of thousands of tragic errors.

vienna 06-15-17 05:42 PM

The actual NSA report can be found on this link:

https://www.documentcloud.org/docume...rphishing.html

Again, it is of note the NSA has and does not deny the authenticity of the document; in fact, the NSA's only official action in regard to the disclosure has been to ask for and receive the cooperation of The Intercept in making redactions of certain highly sensitive data. There has been no other denials of the authenticity from any other intelligence, investigative, or legislative entity involved with ongoing probes...

A couple of days ago, I heard some CA-GOP official make the claim the probes should be abandoned because no actual evidence of votes being changed has been found; when pressed about the evidence of actual breaches of parts of the electoral systems, he shrugged it off by saying something like 'well, no actual harm was done, so it doesn't really matter'. Let's look at an analogous situation: you come home from work one day and find you door lock has been tampered with, there is evidence person or persons have been in your home, but nothing was taken or damaged; you call the police, they arrive, listen to your story, look around and ask you "Did they take anything?" "No". "Well, then it doesn't really matter. Call us back if anything is taken". If some one breaks, enters and trespasses into your home that actually is a crime, regardless of whether anything was actually taken or harmed. Sensible people would want the authorities to investigate and try to apprehend the culprits; sensible people would use the experience as an incentive to fortify their homes to prevent a repeat occurrence; sensible people would probably invest in the acquisition of some sort of alarm system to deter a repeat occurrence; that's what sensible people would do...

Someone has trespassed into a very basic aspect of our US democracy. We need to find out who. how, and why, and we need to determine how to protect ourselves against future occurrences. Its what sensible people would do...

Only idiots would leave their home undefended...




<O>

vienna 06-15-17 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rockstar (Post 2491742)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. It shows that 4.1 percent of defendants who are sentenced to death in the United States are later shown to be innocent: 1 in 25.

Death sentences are uniquely well-documented. We don’t know nearly enough about other kinds of criminal cases to estimate the rate of wrongful convictions for those. The rate could be lower than for capital murders, or it could be higher. Of course, in a country with millions of criminal convictions a year and more than 2 million people behind bars, even 1 percent amounts to tens of thousands of tragic errors.

Oh, Oh, he's turned on his deflector shields! Red alert!... :haha:

Don't really see what any of that has to do with the Russian hacking probes, unless you're trying to suggest or prove Putin has a 4.1% chance of being innocent... :haha:




<O>

August 06-15-17 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rockstar (Post 2491742)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. It shows that 4.1 percent of defendants who are sentenced to death in the United States are later shown to be innocent: 1 in 25.

What period does it cover? I'd think that with the advances in forensic science that the ratio is a lot better now.

Rockstar 06-15-17 07:16 PM

Vienna, I really had no idea what your point was or who your remarks were directed too. I just tried to answer your question as to when the last time I heard a guilty person say it was the other guy. As you can see by the statistics it appears to happen more often than it should.

Anyone with half a brain should realize cyber warfare wether conducted by Russians, Chinese, Best Korea, or Santa Claus is something that should be expected in this day amd age. Just as they should expect it from us. Dont understand why everyone got thier panties in a bunch over it. Its been going on long before it made today's headlines. And as 'Solar Sunrise' proved and as Putin seems to suggest not all cyber attacks are sanctioned by governments.

NSA has my full support to do what it takes to crush attempts to harm my country. Whoever it may be.


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