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http://www.indystar.com/apps/pbcs.dl...S0502/80501001 And the SD just keep on coming aboard for Obama. He is cutting into her SD on a daily basis - the ONLY lead she has. |
Only the Rev Wright can defeat Obama. If people treat that fool with the contempt he deserves then the race will be over after the NC and Indiana primaries. If, however, his negative rhetoric has resonated with enough people, then Hillary could do well in NC, although probably not win it, and she could win Indiana. In that event, the race goes on. Obama will ultimately win, but it will have gone on way too long and John McCain will be the next president.
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The idea that the current media focus on the Democratic candidates is helping McCain seems to make sense.
Does that imply that more attention on McCain will be bad for him? |
Regardless of which one wins the nomination I predict a fair amount of GoP attacks will start with the words "But members of your own party claim that..."
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I think there are enough anti-McCain Republicans to make that kind of strategy self-defeating :)
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And... "I've always respected Karl Rove as one of the smart great political minds I think in American politics" - McCain And... "Two of Sen. John McCain's top advisers and fundraisers are among several Republican and Democratic presidential campaign officials whose lobbying firms have been paid more than $15 million by foreign governments since 2005." - http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/...8489/-1/RSS_FP |
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She could win all of the remaining States, and with the pr system she'd still be over 100 delegates behind Obama at the end of the process. Today, under the CNN headline 'Major Clinton backer switches to Obama' another senior Democrat and former Clinton supporter switches to Obama. For every one SD she gets, he gets five or six. She needs those figures to be the other way around and it simply isn't going to happen. As I said in my other post, if the Rev Wright fiasco has resonated to the point where Clinton wins in NC and Indiana, then we'll stumble on to the Denver convention where Obama will win by a slimmer margin. |
By the way, NEON, I admire your loyalty if not your logic. Nothing personal here...we just have very different views. :D
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Hillary has nobody to blame but herself. At the start of this process, her campaign manager was busy telling anyone who would listen that she'd have it won by 'Super Tuesday'. They made a tactical decision not to caucus, which was a big mistake, and then they realized that they were up against a candidate who offered little substance, but who is very charismatic, eloquent and smart. Perfect for caucussing.
Obama played to his strengths and exploited her tactical errors. The end result is where we're at now. She can't win it, and he can only lose it if the 'Wright' affair loses it for him by frightening some SDs over to her side. So far, there's little sign of that as the SDs continue to endose him and very few have chosen to endorse her, even in the light of her PA victory. The results of the NC and Indiana primaries will define how quickly this will be over. |
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In keeping with the tone then, I offer this: http://media.gallup.com/poll/graphs/...ph2_bcor6s.gif Obama electability is slipping away?:hmm: |
Truthfully, I think McCain will probably beat either of them. It should be fun to watch though. :D
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http://cosmos.bcst.yahoo.com/up/play...26716&src=news Clinton slam dunk :yep: :up: |
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