Dread Knot |
08-23-13 03:18 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Admiral Halsey
(Post 2104719)
If only Kurita had stayed and attack the landing for a few hours. I bet if he tried to leave after that he would have found Oldendorf blocking his way with the Pearl Harbor force.
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There will certainly be more American deaths and injuries than there were historically. His forces will be shooting down American planes that historically survived and damaging American ships that historically were not scratched at Leyte Gulf. If his forces survive long enough to tangle with Oldendorf’s task force, (and that is a big if), then he is likely to inflict some damage before his forces are ultimately destroyed. Think of the causalities that would result if Yamato manages to put one shell into Pennsylvania's magazines before Yamato and Kurita is overwhelmed.
And overwhelmed Kurita must be. The forces he is rushing into are just too vast and no matter how many he manages to destroy, there are always more over just over the horizon. Kurita’'s forces began being suffering attrition a couple of days earlier when Dace and Darter attacked in Palawan Passage. He got hammered more as he crossed the Sibuyan Sea and suffered more damage in his encounter with Taffy 3. By the time he turned around he had few undamaged assets. And things are not going to get any better. If Taffy 2 and Taffy 1 get between him and the gulf, then he has to go through them. If they stand off, then they can conduct unencumbered air operations. Either way, he continues to have ships sunk or left behind and every time he loses a ship, the opposition gets to focus its attention on the ones that are left. Then, he has to fight his way through Oldendorf and the escort vessels in the gulf itself. Anything that survives long enough to shoot at the transports or forces ashore is not going to be very combat effective and will quickly succumb to Third Fleet units.
In short, Kurita might make it into Leyte Gulf, but he is not going to make it out. He will certainly take a lot of Americans with him, but the destruction of his force will not have any significant impact on the invasion, much less the war. Kurita is up against what Lincoln called the "“terrible arithmetic"” and nothing he does can alter that basic equation.
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