Quote:
Originally Posted by Diopos
(Post 1726020)
China does not need CVs to deal with Taiwan it is too close to the mainland. A "prosperous" China has much to lose in case of a war.
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This is true, a good deal of the PRC trade is between Taiwan and the mainland. War is not in the PRCs best interest, particularly not a protracted war which it would be at the moment. So, I believe the latest estimate put it at about 2018 before the PRC will be at a technological parity with the forces on Taiwan and/or have enough forces to be able to withstand attrition rates. Even with a short war though Taiwan will fight like a tiger and PRC losses will be high, and more importantly for the PRC, the infrastructure of Taiwan will be badly damaged which will screw up their trade. The stock markets in Asia will go mental, and there is a risk of a conflict with the United States of America depending on who is in charge and what their approach to the Taiwan question is, so all in all it just isn't worth it for them.
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