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-   -   Now why didn't Israel think of that? (https://www.subsim.com/radioroom/showthread.php?t=154165)

Letum 07-25-09 06:17 PM

That's what he thinks, but he is basing his belief of being all knowing on
his belief that he is all knowing.

There are poor wretches in mad houses whom equally justified in believing
that they are all knowing.

Even if he is all knowing, he has no way to verify it.

Raptor1 07-25-09 06:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Letum (Post 1140182)
Even if he is all knowing, he has no way to verify it.

Unless he finds another all-knowing deity that he could know is all-knowing and that could tell him it knows he is all-knowing.

CastleBravo 07-25-09 06:21 PM

Well you seem to be getting into human knowledge now and not compensating for an all knowing God. I will leave it at that and thank you for the debate. cheers. God still loves you.

Letum 07-25-09 06:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Raptor1 (Post 1140185)
Unless he finds another all-knowing deity that he could know is all-knowing and that could tell him it knows he is all-knowing.

How does he know the other all knowing deity isn't lying or even that the 2nd deity really exists with out getting stuck into the same loop?

geetrue 07-25-09 10:38 PM

Have ya'll heard of PM?

Give me a break ... :O:

August 07-25-09 11:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Letum (Post 1140190)
How does he know the other all knowing deity isn't lying or even that the 2nd deity really exists with out getting stuck into the same loop?


God is rolling his eyes at you right now just like this emoticon: :roll:

Skybird 07-26-09 05:14 AM

On display here has been some of the haughtiness for which I love religious moralists so much. And they always let you feel it, no matter whether your reject them or not. Always searching for a higher seat on the horse by saying "My God still loves you nevertheless".

:nope:

There was one opportunity in my life when somebody received a slap in the face from me for behaving like that. That finally made him falling silent and leaving me alone without any more word.

Sometimes one deed says so much more than a thousand words. :smug: :yeah:

CaptainHaplo 07-26-09 08:49 AM

Back to the original post subject.....

The threat sounds firm and tough out on the world stage - but it is pure saber rattling. All one must do is look at the threat, the capabilities of the Iranians, and the targets in question.

Question #1 - can Iranian Missiles reach far enough to strike Israeli nuke sites? The claim is they can. However, this is highly questionable, as the Iranians have never tested any missile to such range. In theory the missiles they have could - but theory and real world usage are very often two seperate entities. Strike one. For arguements sake, lets assume that theory and reality match, so such missiles would have the needed range.

Question #2 - Having the range to hit something is great - but you also need the ACCURACY. Thus - do Iranian missiles also posses the required ability to hit their INTENDED target vs missing by a mile and taking out civilians? *One could argue that the Iranians would want such a result - but thats a different discussion altogether* Given the tests of Iranian missiles to date, the answer is that the Iranian military lacks a delivery device with the required accuracy. Strike two. Again however - lets play along and say they can hit the intended target.

Question #3 - Does the weapon system possess the ability to damage or destroy its target? Silo's and their surrounding bunkers are hardened against everything up to - and including - a nuclear device landing on them. Iranian missile warheads possess no "bunker busting" ability - they are standard high explosive (HE) devices. It would take a specifically designed device to even have a decent shot at penetrating and destroying a site. Such warheads have not, by any nation, ever been successfully fitted to a long range, land based missile - either ballistic or cruise. Therefore, even without question 1 or 2, the facts are the Iranians may be able to strike at a target - but they lack the ability to do any actual damage to it - other than cosmetic. Thus - Strike three....

The Iranians are.... OUT!

Also note - this whole discussion even ignores the issue of whether or not the Iranians know the correct places to target......

NeonSamurai 07-26-09 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Letum (Post 1140182)
Even if he is all knowing, he has no way to verify it.

Not to further derail the thread, but its interesting that you assigned a gender to this 'all powerful being'. Now that could open up another philosophical debate such as why would there be a male god with out a female god to reproduce with.

Oh and Haplo I suspect the Iranians are threatening to hit Israel's reactor sites such as power plants and the like which are not hardened targets. But otherwise as usual Iran is just posturing

Letum 07-26-09 10:03 AM

Like most English speakers, I use masculine terms for non-gender-specific entities when the term "it" isn't apropiate.

Raptor1 07-26-09 12:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaptainHaplo (Post 1140369)
Also note - this whole discussion even ignores the issue of whether or not the Iranians know the correct places to target......

Doubt it. The locations of the Israeli nuclear reactors are quite known (Unless there is a secret one), I've even been inside one of them, so it might be that they are threatening to target the reactors. But I doubt that Iran would know where the important stuff is being stored.

CaptainHaplo 07-26-09 01:06 PM

If one assumes a "deterrent" capability as suggested - then nuclear reactors are not the targets. For one, you can't get the results needed out of a deterrent threat. Second, an attack on israeli nuclear power plants will do nothing more than escalate the issue - rather than deter it. In fact, it would likely prompt a nuclear strike in response - since such an attack would release nuclear particles to affect the civilian population (though nowhere near what a true nuclear blast would).

Also do not forget that an attack that would release such radiation would not just affect Israel, but also its neighbors. Which ones would depend on the direction of wind, etc. Egypt, or Jordan, or Syria, etc - could be affected by such a release. Not to mention strikes on the Iranian nuclear program would not create such hazards - as there are no live reactors active. Thus, a strike against power reactors in Israel would result in general outrage - not only due to civilian damage - but even in the area for the damage it COULD cause to Arab neighbors.

Lastly - do not forget that your dealing with a regime that right now - is suffering from an onslaught of internal division. Not just populist, but also in its internal structure. Trying to stir the pot with an external foe will not quiet the dissent, but will create more opportunities for the balance of power to be further weakened.

geetrue 07-26-09 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaptainHaplo (Post 1140369)
Question #1 - can Iranian Missiles reach far enough to strike Israeli nuke sites? The claim is they can.

For arguements sake, lets assume that theory and reality match, so such missiles would have the needed range.

Question #2 - Having the range to hit something is great - but you also need the ACCURACY. Thus - do Iranian missiles also posses the required ability to hit their INTENDED target vs missing by a mile and taking out civilians?

Again however - lets play along and say they can hit the intended target.

Question #3 - Does the weapon system possess the ability to damage or destroy its target? Therefore, even without question 1 or 2, the facts are the Iranians may be able to strike at a target
- but they lack the ability to do any actual damage to it - other than cosmetic.

Thus - Strike three....

The Iranians are.... OUT!

Also note - this whole discussion even ignores the issue of whether or not the Iranians know the correct places to target......

If Israel takes matters into their own hands by attacking Iran's nuclear power plants capable of producing nuclear weapons grade material they have a promise that Iran will strike back.

That's cut and dried, black and white, done deal ...

#1 to your #1 is I don't think even Iran knows if the missile can reach that far, but they have some savy scientist that can compute fuel loads and flying times ... so maybe it can.

#2 to your number 2 I agree accuracy is very important for taking out the intended target, but everything is so close to each other in Israel someone is going to get hurt.

#3 to your number 3 this is a good question ... without testing and training in their own country on a suspected nuclear Israel site even Iran doesn't know what a small payload can do to a mulutary target.

But they know this ... they want to strike back and they want to inflict pain and fear against their vowed enemy of Israel.

They could in this present Palestine conflict pay suicide bombers to strike the everyday lives of the citizens of Israel.

They could send warheads on missiles with chemical attacks on military bases, but again where will they land.

or an attack by Israel could end the present administration in Iran with the people over throwing the government and calling for peace with Israel.

or (and I like this last one) they launch a barage of missiles in anger which land in nearby Jordan or even Saudi Araba causing a war to break out in the middle east with Iran being the worse off being called an unstable country that can't be trusted with nuclear weapons (we already know this)

America will have to be in there somewhere, but I don't have the mind or the ear of President Obama so I'm not sure what America will do.

Israel has said they would attack Iran if no one else will and Iran has said what will happen if they do.

That's where we stand today, but remember President Obama has given Iran till September to sort things out.

I don't know what that means, but September is just five weeks from now.

Jimbuna 07-27-09 06:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geetrue (Post 1140564)

That's where we stand today, but remember President Obama has given Iran till September to sort things out.

I don't know what that means, but September is just five weeks from now.

That is what some Brits call "p!ss or get off the pot time". :DL

It will indeed be interesting to see what happens after that :hmmm:

Kazuaki Shimazaki II 07-27-09 07:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaptainHaplo (Post 1140369)
Back to the original post subject.....

The threat sounds firm and tough out on the world stage - but it is pure saber rattling. All one must do is look at the threat, the capabilities of the Iranians, and the targets in question.

Question #1 - can Iranian Missiles reach far enough to strike Israeli nuke sites? The claim is they can. However, this is highly questionable, as the Iranians have never tested any missile to such range. In theory the missiles they have could - but theory and real world usage are very often two seperate entities. Strike one. For arguements sake, lets assume that theory and reality match, so such missiles would have the needed range.

I won't be so sure. Rocket range is a function of its construction and fuel load versus payload. It can't be that hard to calculate it theoretically, then add a safety margin.

Quote:

Question #2 - Having the range to hit something is great - but you also need the ACCURACY. Thus - do Iranian missiles also posses the required ability to hit their INTENDED target vs missing by a mile and taking out civilians? *One could argue that the Iranians would want such a result - but thats a different discussion altogether* Given the tests of Iranian missiles to date, the answer is that the Iranian military lacks a delivery device with the required accuracy. Strike two. Again however - lets play along and say they can hit the intended target.
I don't know whether it is safe to assume the Iranians' lack accuracy. It is true that the finer points of advanced inertial systems is probably a challenge especially if you can't do extensive flight testing. On the other hand, thanks to GPS, you can skimp on that. If the rocket can be controlled, GPS will ensure it falls somewhere close to the target.

Quote:

Question #3 - Does the weapon system possess the ability to damage or destroy its target? Silo's and their surrounding bunkers are hardened against everything up to - and including - a nuclear device landing on them.
That's true of American and Soviet silos (and even that can only survive a CLOSE nuclear blast, not a direct strike). It is not so clear whether Israel's silos possess that degree of ultra-hardening, which is expensive. (Remember, in theory, Israel is a non-nuclear nation, and while everyone in the West is hypocritically closing their eyes to reality (why do the Muslims want to wipe them out...) there are still limits to what they can do).

As for a bunker buster, it is basically a armor-piercing bomb. They've been around for a long time...


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