He'll probably continue to provoke until we give him the response that he wants. Quite why he's not picked up on the east yet is beyond me, could be he's focusing his attention more to the Middle East than to the Far East, or he's trying to exert his power back over the former WP nations by bullying Georgia and the Ukraine and just hasn't considered China yet, I dunno. However, he is shrewd and calculating, and reasonably popular in quite a few circles last I heard...and let's face it, to successfully run a country like Russia, you need to be damn sharp, as well as good at juggling. ;)

What's "Intrusive" about it ? They're doing live fire "Exercises" meaning testing and training in INTERNATIONAL WATERS. I don't think at all it's a show of force toward Europe or NATO. If they chose to do this in the south Pacific would it mean they're threatening Japan ? No. I don't believe for an instant that this is for intimidation purposes. I think it's for training, testing, and for showing off weapons systems/sensors to potential buyers.

Not an European, but anyway
 

From the Western perspective, until Russia gets a lot more of its strength back, indeed China and the Middle East is a higher priority than the North Atlantic.
To the Russians, it doesn't look that way. True, China may (probably "will") become a threat in the future, especially if they ever get that little island to their right back. But right now at least, they are partners buying their weapons and putting money into thet arms industry. Right now, the threat of NATO encroachment looks a heck of a lot closer. It is the United States putting an ABM station close to their territory, not China.
Believe your goodwill? Right...
Ask America the same question, and you'll have a whole new perspective. America's national policy depends on doing "intrusive exercises" all over the world. They call it "Show of Force" or "Power Projection".