Troubleshooting My Search Methods?

[Zeus_Faber]

After a few weeks on patrol, LCDR Friday's beginner's luck has run out. I keep getting contact reports of enemy traffic. If they are very far away, I won't bother; too many variables in a possible intercept. I got one recently that was about 100 miles out. I drew a circle centered on the reported position of the convoy. They were travelling at "slow" speed, so it should take about 15 hours to reach the edge of the 105 mile circle I drew. I aimed my boat well ahead of the contact, as we were travelling at about the same speed (I usually run at 2/3, I speeded up to Standard to gain a lead). At the end of my run, I put down a search pattern around the projected course of the contact; Unless they changed course, they should have run right through the middle of my search. I never saw 'em. Does anyone have any suggestions? Thanks in advance.

Ron

[Crannogman]

After a few weeks on patrol, LCDR Friday's beginner's luck has run out. I keep getting contact reports of enemy traffic. If they are very far away, I won't bother; too many variables in a possible intercept. I got one recently that was about 100 miles out. I drew a circle centered on the reported position of the convoy. They were travelling at "slow" speed, so it should take about 15 hours to reach the edge of the 105 mile circle I drew. I aimed my boat well ahead of the contact, as we were travelling at about the same speed (I usually run at 2/3, I speeded up to Standard to gain a lead). At the end of my run, I put down a search pattern around the projected course of the contact; Unless they changed course, they should have run right through the middle of my search. I never saw 'em. Does anyone have any suggestions? Thanks in advance.

Ron

Did you get a radio alert for the convoy? Those usually give the speed. For route prediction, I draw a line from the tail of the convoy through its center and on ahead. But 100 miles is still a long way; my best was in the 50-mile range. Make sure to be using your hydrophones (submerge if your class requires), as this gives you a much better detection radius.
I'll often run out a good distance ahead and zig-zag back in the direction of the contact location. More often, I sit along major shipping routes or in chokepoints; the contact reports are most useful for establishing well-travelled routes.

[thegrindre]

It is also possible that the convoy was at or near the end of its spawn. 100 miles (15hrs) is a long time. :-?

:)

[Webster]

It is also possible that the convoy was at or near the end of its spawn. 100 miles (15hrs) is a long time. :-?

:)

this is most likely it, randomly spawned things stay spawned for long, usually 24 hours is the maximum time they stay in the game unless its some special circumstance so assuming the time it takes to find them, figure you have 12 hours to set up an attack at best and beyond that they could disappear at any time

[Sniper297]

Main thing is to look at the time of the contact report, if it was more than 12 hours ago you might as well forget it.

If it's a new one, some simple math and geometry works. Figure 10 knots as an average, in 5 hours it will have moved 50 miles, in 24 hours 240 miles. Draw the course line, then measure off several points for where he should be (unless he changes course) 4 hours from now, 8 hours from now, 12 hours from now, etc. Then measure off an intercept course that will put you 10 to 20 miles ahead of him when you reach the course line, the angle will depend on your speed.

https://fbcdn-sphotos-h-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xap1/t31.0-8/10517278_826338974077051_545453423690211822_o.jpg

After that you turn to the reciprocal course (opposite his heading) and if you don't have SJ radar set up a zigzag 10 miles either side of the reciprocal course.

[Zeus_Faber]

Thanks, guys.

Ron