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Platapus
10-06-09, 05:59 AM
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2009/oct/02/president-obama-has-reaffirmed-a-4-decade-old-secr/?feat=article_top10_read

Obama agrees to keep Israel's nukes secret



President Obama has reaffirmed a 4-decade-old secret understanding that has allowed Israel to keep a nuclear arsenal without opening it to international inspections, three officials familiar with the understanding said.

The officials, who spoke on the condition that they not be named because they were discussing private conversations, said Mr. Obama pledged to maintain the agreement when he first hosted Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the White House in May.

Under the understanding, the U.S. has not pressured Israel to disclose its nuclear weapons or to sign the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which could require Israel to give up its estimated several hundred nuclear bombs.

Israel had been nervous that Mr. Obama would not continue the 1969 understanding because of his strong support for nonproliferation and priority on preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons. The U.S. and five other world powers made progress during talks with Iran in Geneva on Thursday as Iran agreed in principle to transfer some potential bomb fuel out of the country and to open a recently disclosed facility to international inspection.

Mr. Netanyahu let the news of the continued U.S.-Israeli accord slip last week in a remark that attracted little notice. He was asked by Israel's Channel 2 whether he was worried that Mr. Obama's speech at the U.N. General Assembly, calling for a world without nuclear weapons, would apply to Israel.

"It was utterly clear from the context of the speech that he was speaking about North Korea and Iran," the Israeli leader said. "But I want to remind you that in my first meeting with President Obama in Washington I received from him, and I asked to receive from him, an itemized list of the strategic understandings that have existed for many years between Israel and the United States on that issue. It was not for naught that I requested, and it was not for naught that I received [that document]."

The chief nuclear understanding was reached at a summit between President Nixon and Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir that began on Sept. 25, 1969. Avner Cohen, author of "Israel and the Bomb" and the leading authority outside the Israeli government on the history of Israel's nuclear program, said the accord amounts to "the United States passively accepting Israel's nuclear weapons status as long as Israel does not unveil publicly its capability or test a weapon."

There is no formal record of the agreement nor have Israeli nor American governments ever publicly acknowledged it. In 2007, however, the Nixon library declassified a July 19, 1969, memo from national security adviser Henry Kissinger that comes closest to articulating U.S. policy on the issue. That memo says, "While we might ideally like to halt actual Israeli possession, what we really want at a minimum may be just to keep Israeli possession from becoming an established international fact."

Mr. Cohen has said the resulting policy was the equivalent of "don't ask, don't tell."

The Netanyahu government sought to reaffirm the understanding in part out of concern that Iran would seek Israeli disclosures of its nuclear program in negotiations with the United States and other world powers. Iran has frequently accused the U.S. of having a double standard by not objecting to Israel's arsenal.

Mr. Cohen said the reaffirmation and the fact that Mr. Netanyahu sought and received a written record of the deal suggest that "it appears not only that there was no joint understanding of what had been agreed in September 1969 but it is also apparent that even the notes of the two leaders may no longer exist. It means that Netanyahu wanted to have something in writing that implies that understanding. It also affirms the view that the United States is in fact a partner in Israel's policy of nuclear opacity."

Jonathan Peled, a spokesman for the Israeli Embassy in Washington, declined to comment, as did the White House National Security Council.
The secret understanding could undermine the Obama administration's goal of a world without nuclear weapons. In particular, it could impinge on U.S. efforts to bring into force the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty and the Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty, two agreements that U.S. administrations have argued should apply to Israel in the past. They would ban nuclear tests and the production of material for weapons.

A Senate staffer familiar with the May reaffirmation, who asked not to be named because of the sensitivity of the issue, said, "What this means is that the president gave commitments that politically he had no choice but to give regarding Israel's nuclear program. However, it calls into question virtually every part of the president's nonproliferation agenda. The president gave Israel an NPT treaty get out of jail free card."

Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association, said the step was less injurious to U.S. policy.
"I think it is par for the course that the two incoming leaders of the United States and Israel would want to clarify previous understandings between their governments on this issue," he said.

However Mr. Kimball added, "I would respectfully disagree with Mr. Netanyahu. President Obama's speech and U.N. Security Council Resolution 1887 apply to all countries irrespective of secret understandings between the U.S. and Israel. A world without nuclear weapons is consistent with Israel's stated goal of achieving a Middle East free of weapons of mass destruction. Obama's message is that the same nonproliferation and disarmament responsibilities should apply to all states and not just a few."
Israeli nuclear doctrine is known as "the long corridor." Under it, Israel would begin to consider nuclear disarmament only after all countries officially at war with it signed peace treaties and all neighboring countries relinquished not only nuclear programs but also chemical and biological arsenals. Israel sees nuclear weapons as an existential guarantee in a hostile environment.

David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security, said he hoped the Obama administration did not concede too much to Israel.

"One hopes that the price for such concessions is Israeli agreement to the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty and the Fissile Material Cutoff Treaty and an acceptance of the long-term goal of a Middle East weapons-of-mass-destruction-free zone," he said. "Otherwise, the Obama administration paid too much, given its focus on a world free of nuclear weapons."I wonder what, if anything, the United States is getting from Israel as part of this "understanding" agreement? I also wonder if this "understanding" is even a good idea.

Tchocky
10-06-09, 07:25 AM
It certainly puts another spin on the Iranian inspections negotiations..

Nice to see a clear-headed article from the Washington TImes, though. THe headline is hilarious.

Skybird
10-06-09, 07:46 AM
THe headline is hilarious.
:DL Indeed.

the story of how Israel's nuclear policy came to happen, is one thing, and perfectly open for debate - like is the very founding fo the state of Israel. However, this is the present, and situations have chnaged and developed since then, sometimes for the better, in this case most times for the worse. Changing the nuclear policy of Israel now is - in the light of N-Korea and Iran - as much an option as is demanding the deconstruction of the state of Israel.

People may not be happy with the circumstances that led to the present status. Nevertheless the present is what we have to deal with, not so much the past. And judging the present by demands and reasons of 2-3 generations ago is confused and can only lead to failure in the widest meaning of the word.

So, I accept the Israeli nukes the same way like I accept the existence of the state of Israel. Both are fact that can only be rejected or reversed at the price of creating new unrest, injustice, and violence against innocents - and even on a greater scale, probably, than before. When I support Israel, emotional sympathy has little to do with it, but a mixture of pragmatism and a reasonable assessement of options available, and their consequences. which makes my - even critical - support for Israel probably even more solid a support than that of philantropists who only talk abstract things like culture and value and historic alliances, but in the storm of winds in that region constantly get blown back and forth and say "Yes" with their lips and do "No" by their deeds.

But maybe the world can learn a lesson or two from the example of modern Israel so that the same failures of the post-war fourties and the janus-headed nuclear policy will not be repeated. But many people seem to be eager to just do that repetition of old patterns as long as it forms effects in favour of their political views. that way, new misery is sure to be created. Policies ignoring realities - no matter the reason - do not solve things, but create problems. they are foolish becasue they always only adress fantasies inside people's heads.

Letum
10-06-09, 08:22 AM
Both are fact that can only be rejected or reversed at the price of creating new unrest, injustice, and violating innoents

When it suits you, you promote unrest and radical changes in the
status-quo.
When it doesn't, you speak against things that might cause unrest and
radical changes in the status-quo.

In one post you want to maintain the status-quo, avoid unrest and the
violation of innocents, then in another you want "civil disobedience on a
scale that deadlocks the state" on an "international level".

Onkel Neal
10-06-09, 08:35 AM
Opinions can be complex things.

Skybird
10-06-09, 08:41 AM
When it suits you, you promote unrest and radical changes in the
status-quo.
When it doesn't, you speak against things that might cause unrest and
radical changes in the status-quo.

In one post you want to maintain the status-quo, avoid unrest and the
violation of innocents, then in another you want "civil disobedience on a
scale that deadlocks the state" on an "international level".
Tricky, eh? ;)

For the one-formula-for everything-approach to world and things, ask Stephen Hawkings.

Ooops, I forgot: already years ago he has given up his belief that there could ever be something like one big world-formula explaining all and everything.

Opinions can be complex things.

Exactly.

UnderseaLcpl
10-06-09, 10:38 AM
In one post you want to maintain the status-quo, avoid unrest and the
violation of innocents, then in another you want "civil disobedience on a
scale that deadlocks the state" on an "international level".

OMFG did youjust quote Michael Moore!?

Skybird
10-06-09, 10:44 AM
OMFG did youjust quote Michael Moore!?
No, he quoted me from a thread where I commented on the German social and political landscape, and the elections we just had.

the link between a corrupted political regime in Germany and the West, and the Israeli nuclear policy and the history that led to the existence of the state of Israel and that threatens it from within today, l I still have not gotten, though.

August
10-06-09, 11:04 AM
Public understandings about big secrets. Nobody sees any contradiction in that? :roll:

Personally I doubt Israel has The Bomb. I'm beginning to believe that this is all just a big smoke screen to fool Israels enemies and prevent another Arab invasion.

Letum
10-06-09, 11:59 AM
the link between a corrupted political regime in Germany and the West, and the Israeli nuclear policy and the history that led to the existence of the state of Israel and that threatens it from within today, l I still have not gotten, though.


I was not commenting on either.
I was questioning the opposing views you appear to hold about whether
or not civil unrest and maintenance of the status-quo is desirable.
As you well know.

FIREWALL
10-06-09, 12:32 PM
There might be a time when the world is nuclear weapon free.

Right after WWIII. :dead:

Tchocky
10-06-09, 12:57 PM
Personally I doubt Israel has The Bomb. I'm beginning to believe that this is all just a big smoke screen to fool Israels enemies and prevent another Arab invasion.
Tell that to Mordechai Vanunu :O:

SteamWake
10-06-09, 01:08 PM
http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh312/UlteriorModem/secretbunker-1.jpg

Hakahura
10-06-09, 03:24 PM
What are we getting from Israel?


Hummus and Silky Smooth

http://img208.imageshack.us/img208/9776/zohan.jpg

Skybird
10-06-09, 03:30 PM
I was not commenting on either.
I was questioning the opposing views you appear to hold about whether
or not civil unrest and maintenance of the status-quo is desirable.
As you well know.

In the one context and situation I would welcome overthrowing the status quo, in the other situational context I would not. Two different situations, two different places = not one and the same reaction scheme for both.
As you well know. ;)

Letum
10-06-09, 05:45 PM
In the one context and situation I would welcome overthrowing the status quoit, in the other situational conext I would not.Exactly my point.

If you where genuinely concerned about changes in Iserail causing civil
strife and loss of innocent life than you would not be so quick to promote civil
strife in other less pressing matters.

You show concern for innocent life only when it happens to back up the
point you making.

OneToughHerring
10-06-09, 09:59 PM
http://www.chocolategelt.com/catalog/images/dreidels-wood10a.jpg

Dreidels.

Dreidel song. (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mnzVq2t7bi4)

Kazuaki Shimazaki II
10-07-09, 12:31 AM
Exactly my point.

If you where genuinely concerned about changes in Iserail causing civil
strife and loss of innocent life than you would not be so quick to promote civil strife in other less pressing matters.

You show concern for innocent life only when it happens to back up the
point you making.

There is nothing inconsistent about the idea of weighing benefits and costs, and making a decision based on the ratios.

Regarding Israel, I think I'm like Skybird (as he shows here at least) in that it was a huge mistake and the main reason for not reversing that decision is the strife it'll call.

But as for Israeli nukes, quite frankly the US can't exactly shout very loud about Iranians or NKs or whatever while they are quietly backing Israel nukes. Israel is not exactly under a deadly conventional threat right now. If anything the Arabs have or could reasonably get that are likely to change those odds it'll be nukes, so there's no need to strengthen their reasons for getting some.

If I were the US, I'll at least be making noises (though perhaps DOING very little) to press Israel to give up those nukes everyone knows it has. It might give them a little more moral backbone the next time they push on someone...

Skybird
10-07-09, 02:15 AM
Exactly my point.

If you where genuinely concerned about changes in Iserail causing civil
strife and loss of innocent life than you would not be so quick to promote civil
strife in other less pressing matters.

You show concern for innocent life only when it happens to back up the
point you making.
Quatsch. You contradict yourself in your criticism of me.

Both situations I referred to - Germany and the West in the old thread, and Israel in this one - are different. I probably also prioritise their internal determinants different than you would. And so I treat both situations different, and come to different needs of how to handle them.

What you complain about in the above is that I do not adress both examples with the the same conclusions, and that my conclusions on both situation are two different ones instead of leading to the same treatement for both situations. You complain about that I judge these two examples differently, and do not see them as being comparable. But the internal demographic pressure from Arabs in Israel, and the party dictatorships in Germany and other Western countries and their unholy integration with private business lobbies, are two different things, like it or not. The latter I want to see getting overthrown as a necessary precondition for cutting through the knots that block our chances for having a future. In the first I look for pragmatically avoiding the demographic pressure in Israel's social structure to explode and rip the nation apart. and everybody being a bit familiar with the matter knows that that risk is a real threat, both in times of peace and future wars.

What really irks you is that I am not in full and uncritical support for the established politicial system of tyrannic political party-oligarchies and ruling lobbies, and call for people to refuse giving their legitimation to this rotten system. That's your real aim at me here, making your replies here a direct sequel to you replies in the thread on the German elections. ;)

Castout
10-07-09, 05:50 AM
There might be a time when the world is nuclear weapon free.

Right after WWIII. :dead:

Anti matter bomb and ICBMs
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antimatter_weapon

Mankind strongly believe that in order that he could sleep in security is by making his enemies couldn't. And vice versa.

Quote Wikipedia

An antimatter weapon is a hypothetical device using antimatter (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antimatter) as a power source, a propellant, or an explosive for a weapon (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weapon). Antimatter weapons do not currently exist due to the cost of production and the limited technology available to produce enough antimatter in sufficient quantities for it to be an acceptable weapon.
The United States Air Force (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Air_Force), however, has been interested in military (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military) uses—including destructive (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Destruction) applications—of antimatter since the Cold War (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_War), when it began funding antimatter-related physics (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Physics) research (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research). The primary theoretical advantage of such a weapon is that antimatter and matter collisions, though significantly limited by neutrino (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neutrino) losses, still <<<convert a larger fraction of the weapon's mass into explosive energy than a fusion reaction (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion) in a hydrogen bomb (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teller%E2%80%93Ulam_design)>>>, which is on the order of only 0.7%

Letum
10-07-09, 06:53 AM
There is nothing inconsistent about the idea of weighing benefits and costs, and making a decision based on the ratios.


Yes, but unless SB seriously thinks that the benefits of a nuclear free
middle East does not outweigh the cost of human life, but the benefits of
overthrowing democracy does out weigh the cost of human life, my point
stands.

Skybird
10-07-09, 07:51 AM
SB neither said that a true democracy is to be overthrown by public disobedience, nor did he say that a nuclear arms-free ME justifies civilian casualties.

What SB indeed said in a completely different thread was that a de facto tyranny of lobbies and political parties that

- put their own interest over that of state reason, and over the interest of the nation and the people,
- and that illegitimately claim to be a democracy, but is anything but that,
- and that makes policies no longer in fulfillment of the voter's demands but - if opportune for party interests - in explicit violation of voter's demand:

that such a tyranny cannot be changed by voting, since it does not obey the vote, and thus can only be get rid of by civil disobedience and riots against this corrupt very system.

And what SB also said in this actual thread now was that loosing it's nuclear shield for Israel is as threatening to its very existence as if one would call for Israel's "deconstruction", with Israel having a very pressing (and growing) problem with the Arabian population inside Israel that always must be considered in any form of conflict Israel needs to fight to the outside, and that is putting Israel under growing internal demographic pressure (the declared intention of the Palestinians, btw.). Evcery military planners needs to take into account the chance of a growing Arab community rioting and uprising and threatening Israel from within, and as a matter of fact Israeli stretegists and defence analysts constantly do take that into account and reserve forces for that case indeed.

----

You do not damage me by your intentional misquoting of what I said in the past, Letum, nor do you devalue what I really said and meant when you try tactics like this. By choice of and accepting such methods you only damage your own reputation.

MothBalls
10-07-09, 08:35 AM
I wonder what, if anything, the United States is getting from Israel

Screwed, is what the US is getting.

Freiwillige
10-07-09, 10:18 AM
Screwed, is what the US is getting.

Absolutely!

FIREWALL
10-07-09, 10:59 AM
Anti matter bomb and ICBMs
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antimatter_weapon

Mankind strongly believe that in order that he could sleep in security is by making his enemies couldn't. And vice versa.

Quote Wikipedia

An antimatter weapon is a hypothetical device using antimatter (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antimatter) as a power source, a propellant, or an explosive for a weapon (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Weapon). Antimatter weapons do not currently exist due to the cost of production and the limited technology available to produce enough antimatter in sufficient quantities for it to be an acceptable weapon.
The United States Air Force (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Air_Force), however, has been interested in military (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military) uses—including destructive (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Destruction) applications—of antimatter since the Cold War (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cold_War), when it began funding antimatter-related physics (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Physics) research (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Research). The primary theoretical advantage of such a weapon is that antimatter and matter collisions, though significantly limited by neutrino (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neutrino) losses, still <<<convert a larger fraction of the weapon's mass into explosive energy than a fusion reaction (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fusion) in a hydrogen bomb (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teller%E2%80%93Ulam_design)>>>, which is on the order of only 0.7%

Not already having it could be another big secret. :hmmm:

Platapus
10-07-09, 04:33 PM
Screwed, is what the US is getting.

I fear that you are correct in this.