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02-24-18, 05:58 PM | #4306 | |
Navy Seal
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The House Intelligence Committee has released the DEM response to the Nunes memo that made a number of allegations regarding the FISA Court and the investigation into Russian influence on US electoral and political processes. The document is heavily redacted, by request of Trump, but still contains a lot of relevant background information about how the FISA warrants were obtained...
This is a link to the Hose Committee's posting of the DEM response: http://docs.house.gov/meetings/ig/ig...0205-sd002.pdf The contrast between the Nunes memo and the DEM response should be noted: 1) The original FISA Court filing for the warrant was over 50 pages; the Nunes memo is only four pages and the DEM response is 10 pages in length; somehow, it is difficult to imagine distilling down over 50 pages of a complex document such as a court filing, much less, a FISA Court filing, down to only four pages and retaining any semblance of substance; 2) The Nunes memo is just a blanket statement of allegations with no corroboration or attribution to its statements; The DEM response is annotated with cites for the points and allegations countering Nunes, altogether a more considered and fleshed out document; 3) The Nunes memo was rushed out with the intent to avoid scrutiny and, even more importantly, was issued with out proper vetting and without prior authorization by the DOJ or other relevant agencies as detailed in the DEM response: Quote:
Nunes' memo reads like a high-schooler's rushed, last-minute-before-class assignment, while the DEM response is more like a researched and defended term paper; with Nunes, you don't really know where he has gotten his facts or if he's just pulling out of some orifice; with the DEM response, they tell you where their info and data is derived and provide cites for the reader to use as verification and to establish context. The haphazard and slapdash Nunes memo and it provenance may be a major reason Nunes is being marginalized by the House GOP leadership and others in his party... A further item of interest and note; the Nunes memo was issued after a vote along party lines with the DEM Committee members dissenting; the DEM response was issued after a unanimous vote by all Committee members from both parties, a vote that was taken on the original document, before the Trump-requested redactions... Now, with the ability to see and contrast the two documents, the need for Nunes to engage in the furtive, rushed 'birthing' of his screed is rather apparent... <O>
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02-26-18, 03:07 PM | #4307 |
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"The time has come," the Walrus said,
"To talk of many things: Of shoes--and ships--and sealing-wax-- Of cabbages--and kings-- ... " - Lewis Carroll, Through The Looking Glass ...and to talk of gator and swamps... An interesting piece in The Atlantic: Trump’s Real Scandal Is Hiding in Plain Sight -- https://www.theatlantic.com/politics...otomac/554240/ Trump: Make The Swamp Greater, Again... <O>
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02-26-18, 05:10 PM | #4308 | |
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https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/don...school-n851266
Trump says he would have run into Florida school without a weapon Quote:
Well, he can talk tough...
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abusus non tollit usum - A right should NOT be withheld from people on the basis that some tend to abuse that right. |
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02-26-18, 05:48 PM | #4309 |
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^ Not Fake news...
...just a shamelessly Fake President... <O>
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02-26-18, 06:01 PM | #4310 |
Old enough to know better
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Since the release of the Democrat/Schiff memo there have been lots of opinions expressed in the media both pro and con. Of the articles that rebuke it, this is the best one I have seen so far. Andrew McCarthy writing in a National Review article intitled 'The Schiff Memo Harms Democrats More Than It Helps Them' sheds light on some of the memos talking points.
https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/...an-helps-them/ McCarthy talks about the heavy reliance on Steele Dossier, the concealing of the Dossier’s Clinton-campaign origins and the use of a media report to ‘corroborate’ Steele, among other things. Some nice light reading.
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“Two possibilities exist: either we are alone in the Universe or we are not. Both are equally terrifying.” ― Arthur C. Clarke |
02-26-18, 06:54 PM | #4311 |
Rear Admiral
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̶1̶3̶ , 14
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Guardian of the honey and nuts Let's assume I'm right, it'll save time. Last edited by Rockstar; 02-26-18 at 07:03 PM. |
02-26-18, 08:28 PM | #4312 |
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..and here's are a couple of articles that shoot some holes in McCarthy's view:
Democratic memo: Here are 6 key points in Schiff's rebuttal -- https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/...ent/370388002/ Top Democrat offers a simple explanation that undercuts Republicans' central argument that the FBI acted illegally -- http://www.businessinsider.com/why-f...xplains-2018-2 The main snake-oil argument the Trump minions are trying to foist on the voters is the FISA only saw and used the Steele "dossier" as the sole basis of the Page warrant: this is patently and deceptive claim. The actual FISA filing for the original warrant is over 50 pages in length (closer to 60 pages or more with emendations on renewal) and obviously contains much more than just the Steele memos. Add to that the simple fact any competent judge would require some sort of substantiation, amplification, and validation of any aspect of a warrant filing; you just don't go in with a single document, say its true/factual and have a judge just just issue a warrant without his asking pertinent questions. The fact the warrant has been issued and reviewed several times, and by a different judge each time, means it has been subjected to multiple scrutiny and questions. And, taking note of the length of the FISA filing, note the actual underlying documents are not included in the filing papers, but are a separate component, much as a lawsuit filing does not include all the specific evidence to be presented, but doe refer to them; in the process of the consideration of whether or not to issue a warrant, the judge may, and very often will require production of underling documents or evidence, as needed to support the warrant request. Another point is there is no actual law requiring a prosecutor to fully disclose the provenance of underlying evidence or documentation; most prosecutors will do so as a matter of course, if only to avoid possibly damaging questions later in the process or at trial. In the case of the Page warrant, it was requested some months after the FBI had already initiated its own investigation(s) into Page and his dealings; Trump's minions and apologists are trying to turn this part of the case into a sort of 'chicken or egg first' argument when it is obvious from the documentation there is no question at all on this point. Then there is the testimony from the head of Fusion/GPS (the security firm which compiled the memos and were originally hired by GOP interests to gather information on Trump), before a Congressional committee that he was informed by the FBI the agency already had substantially the same intel regarding Page's (and others) activities from sources the FBI had already developed and, very notably, from someone inside the Trump camp. There was no "single source" or dominant source for the warrant, plain and simple... The question of how the FBI got its source intel is also brought up again and again by the Trump camp as some sort of shady deal, with all manner of sub rosa activity rife with payoffs and deals kept away from the FISA judges' notice, that the judges were not told about any animus the informants may have had against Page or other persons in the Trump camp, Trump included. Well, here's a news flash: all criminal judges know any intel or evidence secured through confidential informants (CI) usually carries with it some form of animus on the part of the informant and/or was secured by some sort of arrangement of payment or plea bargain. It is rare to have a non-involved informant who acts altruistically and/or without some sort of 'compensation' if you are a criminal judge and a DA, AG, or other prosecutorial entity comes before you seeking a warrant, you know the intel from CIs is not without price of some self-interest; that is why judges will ask the prosecutor(s) about the reliability of the source(s). If a judge gets a drug case against, say, a dealer, the judge pretty much knows the CI-derived intel is either from a user or rival dealer the defendant burned, a person connected to someone affected by the defendants actions, a CI looking for a payday, or someone looking for a plea deal/reduction of sentence. Judges know this and the prosecutors know the judges know; a prosecutor who tries to slip a shoddy warrant request past a skeptical judge will always come out on the losing end... The judges on the FISA Court are not novice or naive jurists. They are appointed by the Chief Justice of The Supreme Curt of the US and are vetted for qualifications to hear matters of extreme sensitivity and national security implications; this link gives facts related to Federal judges and security clearances and the handling of classified cases in Federal Claims Courts - the same basic process holds in FISA courts, only stricter: https://www.uscfc.uscourts.gov/sites...nformation.pdf Lastly, the Trump minions and Trump's GOP diehards are trying to sell the idea there is a DEM conspiracy in the FBI and the courts against Trump; the really big problem with that claim and argument is all the FISA court judges who have handled Trump-related matters are registered GOP appointees to the Federal Court by past GOP Presidents and have been, in turn, appointed by the Chief Justice, SCOTUS, who is also a registered GOP member and was appointed by a GOP President, GW Bush; additionally Acting FBI Director is a registered Republican, as is SC Mueller, and there are many others involved who are GOP members. Wow, those DEMs must be really, really powerful to have turned so many GOP to the 'dark side'... <O>
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02-26-18, 09:19 PM | #4313 | |
Old enough to know better
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“Two possibilities exist: either we are alone in the Universe or we are not. Both are equally terrifying.” ― Arthur C. Clarke |
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02-26-18, 10:09 PM | #4314 |
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No, I'm not saying that just because they are in the GOP they are Trump supporters and defenders; I'm certain there are a great many intelligent, independent, considered, sensible, and rational persons in the GOP membership. I was merely pointing out that one of the many spurious defenses and claims made by Trump minions and defenders is there is some sort of DEM orchestrated plot against Trump via the FBI, various other DOJ entities, and the courts, all without a single shred of substantial evidence. It seems like only yesterday the GOP was deriding and ridiculing the notion of a vast right-wing conspiracy against the Clintons, remember?:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vast_r...ing_conspiracy Both notions are fully idiotic and now such a notion has become a sad, weak defense for the Trump camp to use; talk about clutching at straws... As far as McCain, a person for whom I have a deep respect, his only active hand in the dossier occurred when a copy of the memos was given to him and, after reviewing it, he deemed it a matter for the FBI to investigate; he really hasn't championed the memos actively, he just did what any responsible person, particularly a member of Congress would do when presented information about situations possibly detrimental to national security; basically, McCain called the cops... See, you have it right there: an intelligent, independent, considered, sensible, and rational person in the GOP... Too bad there are so very damn few such GOP members in the Trump camp, including Trump himself... <O>
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02-27-18, 07:59 AM | #4315 | |||||
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This looks like another in a long list of missteps by the FBI/DOJ. How many more are there?
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“Two possibilities exist: either we are alone in the Universe or we are not. Both are equally terrifying.” ― Arthur C. Clarke |
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02-27-18, 06:16 PM | #4316 | |||||
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Again, an op-ed piece is not definitive proof; it is opinion, not full fact, it is not solid evidence, and, as with all op-ed pieces, it is certain to be skewed towards persuasion. He raises some interesting points, but fails in one important fact: the Steele memos dealt with a broad number of concerns (and, yes, I do find the more salacious elements highly doubtful, but not fully sufficient to impugn the whole) beyond merely Page; 50+ pages of supporting documents submitted in support of the initial warrant does indicate there was far more to the case against Page than just a couple of meetings; remember, also, warrant fillings don't contain all the material collected in a particular case, just enough to convince, on evidence, a judge to issue a warrant; the reason for this is so as not to tip off subjects of the warrant to the full extent of any evidence against them prior to completion of an investigation...
Regarding Page, the couple of meetings is a bit of an understatement; in the linked WaPo article from Jan 31 2018, details are given regarding a rather extensive history pf Page's interactions with known Russian intelligence actors: What we know about the warrant to surveil Carter Page -- https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.32e080dd6ac1 It seems Page had a lot more than a casual connection with Russian interests... Here's on very important fact to keep in mind when considering the Page warrant discussion: no one really, actually knows the literal content of the warrant nor the full nature and extent of the underlying support documentation. The warrant is a highly classified document and outside a very small circle of investigators and the FISA court, no one else has seen it; any person who claims to know exactly what is in the warrant is either in violation themselves of all kinds of National Security laws or outright lying. All that exists is speculation based on past knowledge of similar warrants made public, or, in the cases of the tin-foil crowd, fanciful speculation. Until the warrant is made public through use in prosecuting future cases or by declassification, you and I and, importantly, the pundits of all political stripes are merely expressing opinions. In the case of the 'meat' of the Page warrant, there are no facts... Quote:
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I think the answer to that might be that interviewing Page would: 1. Possibly tip the FBI/DOJ's hand on the full nature of their investigation to other possible co-defendants in the investigation; Paul Manafort's lawsuit contending the SC exceeded the scope of his legally allowed mandate (he didn't) has been noted as a tactic by Manafort to get a better look at what case Mueller fully has against him; an interesting part of this tactic would be if Manafort were successful in getting the SC to reveal more of the case against Manafort, a beneficiary of such information would be some of the other pending defendants/POIs, and, by extension, relevant members of the Trump administration (Kushner, Trump Jr, etc.); btw, Manafort's chances of winning his challenge has been estimated as very slim to none... and, 2. Quote:
How important is Carter Page to the Russia investigation? -- https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...=.57e714ad9c79 It should be noted, also, the GOP and Trump camps seem to be manically focused on Page to the exclusion of virtually all other factors in the investigation. There is a sense Page's situation has become a sort of combination 'straw man'/'stalking horse' for the GOP/Trump, a means of trying to distract from the whole by trying to turn focus on a small part and a means of trying to draw out more intel on just what the SC/DOJ have on the Trump associates. When you look at the whole of the scandal, Page may just be a footnote... Carter Page, the star of the Nunes memo, explained -- https://www.vox.com/policy-and-polit...mo-carter-page Quote:
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A point I'd like to make about the whole Russia-Trump campaign scandal: the minions defending the Trump campaign and administration keep maintaining the investigations are a politically motivated 'witch hunt'. I don't know about anyone else, but if I were an national security investigator, I'd be very interested in the unusual confluence of so many Russia-involved individuals concentrated into a specific organization: Manafort, Flynn, Papadopoulos, Gates, Kushner, Page, and more, all with connections to Russian interests 'just happen' to have come together in the same organizations at the same time by coincidence? Maybe so. But to anyone tasked with securing the interests of the US, such a 'coincidence' would certainly raise an eyebrow... A goodly number of people don't believe in coincidence and a goodly number of them also believe everything happens for a reason... <O>
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02-27-18, 07:14 PM | #4317 |
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The hammer finally came down today when WH Chief Of Staff Gen. Kelly followed through on his intent to reclassify Jared Kusner and several other of the WH staff to lower security clearances:
Kushner loses access to top-secret intelligence -- https://www.politico.com/story/2018/...wngrade-427178 The following report published today gives a very strong possible reason why Kushner had his clearance degraded: Kushner’s overseas contacts raise concerns as foreign officials seek leverage -- https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...=.56d594238a58 <O>
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02-28-18, 07:16 AM | #4318 | |||||
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And on it goes. I think there have already been rebuttals of the rebuttal. Hey I'm for finding out all we can find out. And apparently we may get some answers some day. Quote:
I like this guys take on it. Quote:
I also have a question for you Vienna. Of course you are under no obligation to answer and I understand fully why you might not want to but here goes. I believe you live in the L.A. area. Are you in the 28th congressional district? Just curious.
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“Two possibilities exist: either we are alone in the Universe or we are not. Both are equally terrifying.” ― Arthur C. Clarke |
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02-28-18, 04:29 PM | #4319 | |||
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As for the dossier, again, it is (was) not the whole of the warrant application, unless, of course, you choose to believe unsubstantiated claims and innuendo spouted by persons who have never actually seen the warrant, and, remember, the warrant is highly classified, so anyone who has seen it and comments on it is in violation of Federal national security laws, you know, like Devin Nunes, who has seen his approval ratings in his own district plummet (he may not survive the mid-terms)... Also, as stated before, all judges with experience in hearing criminal proceedings, including warrant applications, are fully aware intel obtained from informants carries with it a very, very strong certainty of animus towards the subject of the warrant application; it is really a far-fetched stretch of credulity to believe an experienced. competent judge would not ask questions about the provenance of the intel if he had any doubts; what the 'it was all based on the dossier' camp wants us to believe is: 1) a competent, professional prosecutor would actually go before a competent, professional and experienced judge and seek a warrant solely based on a single flimsy (by the accounts of the 'fake dossier' camp) document, without other documentation or corroboration; 2) a competent, professional, and experienced judge would not, being presented with a single, flimsy document would not actually ask the prosecutor "What else have you got?", a question which is pretty much SOP in warrant applications; 3) that any Federal judge appointed to a high profile, highly sensitive, and national security-related bench like the FISA Court could be by any stretch of the imagination so incompetent as to be neglectful of his responsibilities I would also point out, again, there is an appeal mechanism in the structure of the FISA Court to provide a means to challenge warrants; the fact that none of the person's involved has made even any attempt to avail themselves of the appeal process speaks to a high possibility they do not believe they would be able to prevail. I guess its easier to have a 'trial' in the public of half-truths, innuendo, slanted opinion, and political hysterics rather than actually making the effort to settle the matter(s) properly and officially; I also guess its easier than facing a high possibility of failure... I also agree with you: I'm for finding out all we can find out. And apparently we may get some answers some day. But that can only happen through actually looking for the truth, not just ignoring serious concerns. And, if there are situations related to misconduct by anyone involved, I have high confidence Mueller, given his reputation as a determined and tenacious investigator and prosecutor would not turn a blind eye... Quote:
I don't really understand why you would think I would shy away from answering your question. Are you engaging in your own brand of 'innuedo defense'? I do happen to be in the 28th Congressional District, represented by Adam Schiff, who has been the Representative for about the last 6 years (for those outside the US, House terms are two years in length). The 28th District is huge and includes all sorts of cities and communities, not just portions of the City of Los Angeles, proper; in fact, until several years ago, prior to redistricting, my residence was part of another, entirely different district; I didn't move into the 28th -- it moved into me... So, I'm guessing you are now going to try to make some sort of connection between the happenstance Schiff represents my district and my views on the Trump/Russia scandals. Well, that really would be rather weak, sad and pathetic. I am, as often stated, an Independent, and do not, like so many, blindly follow a party or party line. I am more than willing to admit I did vote for Schiff in the last (2016) Congressional election, something I did because the GOP candidate was so wildly unacceptable; in fact, Schiff got 78% of the vote in the district, a whopping big number. But, you know, I would just as easily have voted for a GOP candidate, if the CA-GOP would field candidates other than the whack jobs they usually field here in CA. I have, in the past, voted for GOP candidates, as I have for DEM and Independent candidates. I voted based on researched qualifications... So, go ahead. Take your shot at trying to make an ominous connection. If nothing else, it could be highly amusing... <O>
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02-28-18, 04:43 PM | #4320 |
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Came across this and thought this thread needed a good laugh:
Fox News contributor mocked over claim Navy SEALs couldn’t breach Trump wall prototype -- http://thehill.com/homenews/media/37...couldnt-breach <O>
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