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Not really a pleasant outlook, but one that is realistic. I often wondered why and how an artifical intellligence would form up from computer code - while I think a neural network is needed as a material basis, it still remains mystery how you would reach beyond mere automatism in monitoring and mechanical reaction this way. The idea that maybe AI and self-awareness is not needed at all, like insect states and swarms of fish and bird function as well without individual intelligence of noteworthy, is an alternative idea that had raising the interest of other authors than Lem as well, Daniel Suarez as an example.
Militaries always seem to imply that the next wat will be won with weapons and strategies that were victorious in the last war. history shows how often this assumption has proven to be wrong.
The temporary initiatives to ban autonomous combat robots, imo are simply naive. Autonomy is the logical next step in drone technology, and no matter treaties and laws - the big nations will do it, and big organisation like companies and organised crime will do it as well. Instead of thinking we can talk it away with a conference and a signed piece of paper, we should prepare for defending against such new attack scenarios. Wishful thinking is worth pure moonshine.