The estimates and evaluations of if and when NK, or any other nation, may be skewed by the person or persons doing the evaluation and the extent of their knowledge of attendant technologies. If the 'evaluator' isn't fully up on the tech, they may underestimate and/or misread a situation. This may be what has happened with NK. It seems to happen, over and over again, that the estimates and evaluations of NK capabilities have fallen short. Given the extremely rapid progression of tech and the increased means of its dissemination, licit and illicit, with NK it may be better to not rely on the old evaluations of "Well, they're just another poor, backward country", and begin to deal with the situation on the basis NK may very well be much farther along than the "experts" care to admit...
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